Islanders3 – 3 – 0vsSenators5 – 2 – 0

Sharp side

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Model value

Sharp total

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
New York Islanders	D+	B	C
Ottawa Senators	B	B+	B

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

NYI+130+1.5 (-198)

OTT-155-1.5 (+164)

Total 5.5Over -112Under -108

Recent form

Last 3 games

New York Islanders

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/13/26	vs VAN	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 5.5
10/10/26	vs TB	L 3–5	L +1.5	O 5.5
10/8/26	vs CHI	W 4–1	W -1.5	U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Ottawa Senators

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/13/26	vs STL	L 2–7	L +1.5	O 5.5
10/12/26	@ NJ	W 4–1	W +1.5	U 5.5
10/10/26	vs NSH	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Islanders and Senators
	Statistic
27.5 (27.8)	Shots	28.2 (28.3)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

IslandersIlya SorokinExpected

SenatorsLinus UllmarkExpected

Lineup context

Projected lines

New York Islanders

First line

CBo Horvat
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25571.8%
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LWEmil Heineman
RWKyle Palmieri
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+22031.3%Under-30075.0%
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DLogan Stanley
DMatthew Schaefer
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
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Ottawa Senators

First line

CTim Stutzle
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
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LWWarren Foegele
Player props1 market
Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
RWDrake Batherson
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25071.4%
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DThomas Chabot
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
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DJordan Spence
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+26027.8%Under-37078.7%
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Player availability

Injury report

New York Islanders

DAlexander RomanovKneeOut
CMathew BarzalKneeInjured Reserve
Barzal (knee) has been skating on his own, but there is no timeline for his return, according to Andrew Gross of Newsday on Monday.
Updated: Oct 12, 2026 at 12:57 PM EDT

Ottawa Senators

DNikolas MatinpaloUpper BodyOut
Matinpalo (upper body) won't play against St. Louis on Tuesday, and there is no timeline for his return, Bruce Garrioch of Postmedia reports.
Updated: Oct 13, 2026 at 5:31 PM EDT
DJake SandersonLower BodyDay-To-Day
CRidly GreigStrainDay-To-Day