Kraken5 – 2 – 0vsLightning4 – 2 – 0

Sharp side

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Model value

Sharp total

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
Seattle Kraken	C-	C	C
Tampa Bay Lightning	B+	A-	A-

Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Illustrated interior of Benchmark International Arena in Tampa during a professional ice hockey game

Kraken vs. Lightning preview: Seattle’s road streak meets a steep priceSeattle brings three straight road wins to Tampa Bay, but the Lightning remain substantial favorites. The price and a 6.5-goal total deserve separate looks.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

SEA+210+1.5 (-125)

TB-258-1.5 (+105)

Total 6.5Over +102Under -122

Recent form

Last 3 games

Seattle Kraken

Overall3–0–0W–L–TPuck Line3–0–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/13/26	@ PHI	W 3–2	W +1.5	U 5.5
10/11/26	@ WSH	W 5–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/9/26	@ DET	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/13/26	@ NYR	L 1–4	L -1.5	U 5.5
10/10/26	@ NYI	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 5.5
10/8/26	vs MIN	W 3–2	L -1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Kraken and Lightning
	Statistic
25.3 (25.7)	Shots	28.5 (28.5)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

KrakenJoey DaccordExpected

LightningAndrei VasilevskiyExpected

Lineup context

Projected lines

Seattle Kraken

First line

CMatty Beniers
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+26027.8%Under-37078.7%
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LWJared McCann
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+19533.9%Under-26572.6%
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RWMackie Samoskevich
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+30025.0%Under-42581.0%
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DVince Dunn
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21067.7%
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DAdam Larsson

Tampa Bay Lightning

First line

CBrayden Point
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
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LWGage Goncalves
Player props1 of 2 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33076.7%
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RWNikita Kucherov
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-20066.7%Under+15040.0%
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DJ.J. Moser
DJohn Carlson
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
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Player availability

Injury report

Seattle Kraken

RWJacob MelansonChestInjured Reserve
Melanson's upper-body injury was diagnosed Saturday as an anterior mediastinum hematoma with vascular pseudo aneurysm. He will continue to be evaluated and is out indefinitely.
Updated: Oct 10, 2026 at 3:49 PM EDT
CJake O'BrienLower BodyInjured Reserve
O'Brien (lower body) was placed on non-roster injured reserve Wednesday.
Updated: Sep 30, 2026 at 8:06 PM EDT
DRyan LindgrenUpper BodyInjured Reserve
Lindgren (upper body) was placed on injured reserve by the Kraken on Thursday and is expected to miss four to six weeks.
Updated: Oct 8, 2026 at 12:38 PM EDT

Tampa Bay Lightning

GDennis HildebyUndisclosedDay-To-Day
CYanni GourdeHipInjured Reserve
Gourde (hip) was placed on the injured non-roster list Monday.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026 at 3:18 PM EDT