Sabres3 – 3 – 1vsMaple Leafs3 – 3 – 1

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Model value

Sharp total

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
Buffalo Sabres	B	C	B-
Toronto Maple Leafs	B-	B-	B-

Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Scotiabank Arena during a professional hockey night game in Toronto, Ontario.

Sabres vs. Maple Leafs preview: Buffalo’s attack meets Toronto’s edge in netToronto is a slight favorite, but Buffalo has the stronger attacking grade. The expected goalies offer a useful counterweight—and a reason to look closely at the 6.5-goal total.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

BUF-102+1.5 (-245)

TOR-118-1.5 (+200)

Total 6.5Over -122Under +102

Recent form

Last 3 games

Buffalo Sabres

Overall1–2–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/13/26	@ MTL	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/12/26	vs FLA	W 5–3	W -1.5	O 5.5
10/10/26	vs UTAH	L 1–4	L +1.5	U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Overall1–2–0W–L–TPuck Line3–0–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
10/13/26	@ UTAH	L 4–5	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/10/26	@ COL	W 6–3	W +1.5	O 6.5
10/8/26	@ VGK	L 3–4	W +1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Sabres and Maple Leafs
	Statistic
28.2 (28.2)	Shots	26.4 (26.3)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

SabresUkko-Pekka LuukkonenExpected

Maple LeafsSergei BobrovskyExpected

Lineup context

Projected lines

Buffalo Sabres

First line

CTage Thompson
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
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LWPeyton Krebs
RWJosh Doan
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30075.0%
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DMattias Samuelsson
DOlen Zellweger

Toronto Maple Leafs

First line

CAuston Matthews
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
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LWKirill Marchenko
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
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RWJack Roslovic
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+26027.8%Under-37078.7%
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DJake McCabe
DDarren Raddysh
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
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Player availability

Injury report

Buffalo Sabres

DRasmus DahlinUpper BodyDay-To-Day
GAlex LyonUpper BodyInjured Reserve
Lyon (upper body) was spotted practicing at Tuesday's optional morning skate, per Matthew Fairburn of The Athletic.
Updated: Oct 6, 2026 at 11:07 AM EDT
DConor TimminsLower BodyInjured Reserve
Timmins (lower body) doesn't have a timeline for his return yet, according to Heather Engel of NHL.com on Tuesday.
Updated: Sep 29, 2026 at 1:28 PM EDT

Toronto Maple Leafs

DCade WebberElbowInjured Reserve
DChris TanevUpper BodyInjured Reserve
CDakota JoshuaAbdomenInjured Reserve
Joshua (abdomen) has been moved from the non-roster list to long-term injured reserve, PuckPedia reports Wednesday.
Updated: Sep 30, 2026 at 5:47 PM EDT