CFB matchup
10/17/202612:00 PMSpartan StadiumEast Lansing, MI

Northwestern4 – 1vsMichigan State2 – 4

Sharp side
Model value
Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Northwestern WildcatsBBB
Michigan State SpartansBBB
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, with abstract spectators and unmarked venue surfaces.Northwestern vs. Michigan State: Can the Spartans sustain their offensive spark?Aidan Chiles returns to East Lansing with Northwestern favored by 7.5 points. Michigan State’s late rally adds intrigue to the spread and the 48.5-point total.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
NU-310-7.5 (-102)
MSU+250+7.5 (-118)
Total 49.5Over -108Under -112
Recent form

Last 3 games

Northwestern Wildcats

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/10/26vs BALLW 45–14L -34.5O 53.5
10/2/26vs PSUW 34–13W +3O 46.5
9/25/26@ IUL 23–29W +20.5O 49.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Michigan State Spartans

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/10/26vs ILLL 37–38W +2.5O 48.5
10/3/26@ WISL 3–31L +8.5U 43.5
9/26/26vs NEBL 13–31L +6U 48.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Northwestern and Michigan State
Statistic
335.8 (374.9)Total Yards329.7 (335.5)



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