NHL matchup
10/17/20267:00 PMXfinity Mobile ArenaPhiladelphia, PA

Senators6 – 3 – 0vsFlyers1 – 6 – 3

Sharp side
🏠 Flyers +130
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 5.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Ottawa Senators3.057.5%
Philadelphia Flyers2.542.5%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Ottawa SenatorsBB+B
Philadelphia FlyersDBC
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia.Senators vs. Flyers preview: Philadelphia needs more than a close gamePhiladelphia hasn't scored more than twice in a game this season. Linus Ullmark's strong recent play makes that a tough problem to solve, while Dan Vladar complicates the 5.5 total.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
OTT-155-1.5 (+170)
PHI+130+1.5 (-205)
Total 5.5Over -102Under -118
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
OTT-165-1.5 (+150)
PHI+135+1.5 (-185)
Total 5.5Over +100Under -120
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
OTT-157-1.5 (+175)
PHI+130+1.5 (-225)
Total 5.5Over -104Under -121
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
OTT-170—
PHI+140—
Total —Over —Under —
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
OTT-155-1.5 (+175)
PHI+139+1.5 (-200)
Total 5.5Over +100Under -120
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
OTT-162-1.5 (+172)
PHI+134+1.5 (-210)
Total 5.5Over +102Under -124
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
OTT-150-1.5 (+160)
PHI+130+1.5 (-210)
Total 5.5Over +100Under -120
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
OTT-155-1.5 (+165)
PHI+135+1.5 (-200)
Total 5.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 10 games

Ottawa Senators

Overall6–4–0W–L–TPuck Line3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/15/26vs NYIW 2–1L -1.5U 5.5
10/13/26vs STLL 2–7L +1.5O 5.5
10/12/26@ NJW 4–1W +1.5U 5.5
10/10/26vs NSHW 3–2L -1.5U 5.5
10/8/26vs PHIW 2–1L -1.5U 5.5
10/6/26@ DETL 3–5L +1.5O 6.5
10/5/26@ BOSW 4–1W -1.5U 5.5
10/3/26@ TORW 3–2W +1.5U 6.5
4/25/26vs CARL 2–4L +1.5O 5.5
4/23/26vs CARL 1–2L -1.5U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Philadelphia Flyers

Overall0–10–0W–L–TPuck Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/15/26@ DETL 1–2W +1.5U 5.5
10/13/26vs SEAL 2–3L -1.5U 5.5
10/11/26vs CARL 1–4L +1.5U 5.5
10/10/26@ BOSL 1–5L +1.5O 5.5
10/8/26@ OTTL 1–2W +1.5U 5.5
10/5/26@ TBL 1–4L +1.5U 5.5
10/3/26vs CARL 2–3W +1.5U 5.5
10/1/26@ NJL 2–3W +1.5U 5.5
9/30/26vs PITL 0–7L -1.5O 6.5
5/9/26vs CARL 2–3W +1.5U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Senators and Flyers
Statistic
28.0 (28.2)Shots24.7 (25.1)
24.8 (24.6)Hits25.7 (25.3)
14.2 (14.0)Blocked Shots15.3 (15.4)
30.1 (30.4)Faceoffs Won27.6 (27.6)
3.4 (3.4)Power Play Opportunities2.9 (2.9)
4.9 (5.0)Takeaways4.3 (4.3)
14.3 (14.4)Giveaways14.9 (14.9)
3.9 (4.0)Penalties4.3 (4.3)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

SenatorsLinus UllmarkConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves21.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
FlyersDan VladarConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves23.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Ottawa Senators
First line
  • CTim Stutzle
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17037.0%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
  • LWStephen Halliday
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+29025.6%Under-42581.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
  • RWDrake Batherson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
    Total Points0.5Over-15560.8%Under+11546.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
  • DThomas Chabot
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23069.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+11047.6%Under-15060.0%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-14559.2%Under+10548.8%
  • DArtem Zub
Second line
  • CDylan Cozens
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25571.8%
    Total Points0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
  • LWAndre Burakovsky
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20066.7%
  • RWClaude Giroux
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+17536.4%Under-24571.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15060.0%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
  • DTyler Kleven
  • DJordan Spence
Philadelphia Flyers
First line
  • CChristian Dvorak
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33076.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+12544.4%Under-16562.3%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
  • LWTrevor Zegras
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19065.5%
    Total Points0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
  • RWTyson Foerster
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31075.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
  • DTravis Sanheim
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23030.3%Under-32076.2%
    Total Points0.5Over+18035.7%Under-24571.0%
  • DOliver Bonk
Second line
  • CSean Couturier
  • LWDenver Barkey
  • RWMichael Bunting
  • DNick Seeler
  • DJamie Drysdale
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25571.8%
    Total Points0.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%


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