NBA matchup
10/24/20268:30 PMState Farm ArenaAtlanta, GA

Rockets5 – 0vsHawks3 – 3

Sharp side
✈️ Rockets -1.5
Model value
Model trendAtlanta Hawks games: +1.65 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Atlanta Hawks went 4–2 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.65 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
↓ Under 227.5
Model value
Model trendAtlanta Hawks games: +1.52 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Atlanta Hawks went 4–2 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.52 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Houston Rockets117.873.4%
Atlanta Hawks109.526.6%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Houston RocketsBA-B+
Atlanta HawksC+CC+
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of State Farm Arena in Atlanta.Rockets vs. Hawks preview: Atlanta’s fast start faces a defensive testAtlanta has scored at least 128 points in each of its first two wins. Houston brings a stronger defensive grade, but fresh injury concerns complicate a tight matchup.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
HOU-112-1.5 (-102)
ATL-108+1.5 (-118)
Total 227.5Over -108Under -112
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
HOU-105+1.5 (-118)
ATL-115-1.5 (-102)
Total 227.5Over -110Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
HOU-106+0.5 (-106)
ATL-115-0.5 (-115)
Total 227.5Over -108Under -113
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
HOU-110+1.5 (-115)
ATL-110-1.5 (-105)
Total 227.5Over -110Under -110
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
HOU-115-1.0 (-110)
ATL-105+1.0 (-110)
Total 227.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
HOU-108+1.5 (-120)
ATL-108-1.5 (+100)
Total 227.5Over -105Under -115
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
HOU-110-1.5 (+100)
ATL-110+1.5 (-120)
Total 227.5Over -105Under -115
Kalshi
TeamMoneylineSpread
HOU+100—
ATL-108—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
HOU-115+1.5 (-120)
ATL-105-1.5 (+100)
Total 226.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Houston Rockets

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/23/26@ SAW 114–110W +4.5U 224.5
10/21/26vs DALW 128–110W -9.5O 230.5
5/1/26vs LALL 78–98L -5.5U 203.5
4/29/26@ LALW 99–93W +3.5U 209.5
4/26/26vs LALW 115–96W -3.5O 206.5
4/24/26vs LALL 108–112L -7.5O 205.5
4/21/26@ LALL 94–101L -5.5U 209.5
4/18/26@ LALL 98–107L -2.5U 208.5
4/12/26vs MEMW 132–101W -14.5O 230.5
4/10/26vs MINL 132–136L -9.5O 227.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Atlanta Hawks

Overall5–5–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/23/26@ CHAW 128–81W -2.5U 226.5
10/21/26@ ORLW 132–125W +2.5O 233.5
4/30/26vs NYL 89–140L +2.5O 215.5
4/28/26@ NYL 97–126L +6.5O 214.5
4/25/26vs NYL 98–114L +2.5U 215.5
4/23/26vs NYW 109–108W +1.5O 214.5
4/20/26@ NYW 107–106W +5.5U 218.5
4/18/26@ NYL 102–113L +5.5U 217.5
4/12/26@ MIAL 117–143L +10.5O 239.5
4/10/26vs CLEW 124–102W -8.5U 233.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockets and Hawks
Statistic
43.7 (42.5)Field Goals Made40.4 (43.2)
12.0 (11.4)Three-Pointers Made13.3 (14.5)
18.3 (17.8)Free Throws Made15.6 (16.5)
47.5 (47.6)Rebounds42.8 (43.2)
26.0 (25.2)Assists27.4 (29.7)
8.8 (8.8)Steals8.9 (9.3)
5.7 (5.7)Blocks4.6 (4.7)
14.1 (14.2)Turnovers13.6 (13.4)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Houston Rockets
Expected Starters
  • PGFred VanVleet
  • SGAmen Thompson
    Player props7 markets
    Total Assists5.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds13.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points16.5Over-10851.9%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points and Assists21.5Over-12255.0%Under-10751.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds24.5Over-11954.3%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists30.5Over-10952.2%Under-12054.5%
    Total Rebounds8.5Over+10648.5%Under-14058.3%
  • SFKevin Durant
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18665.0%Under+14141.5%
    Total Assists4.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds9.5Over-10451.0%Under-12655.8%
    Total Points24.5Over-10350.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points and Assists28.5Over-10952.2%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds29.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists33.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
  • PFJabari Smith Jr.
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17864.0%Under+13542.6%
    Total Points14.5Over-11553.5%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points and Rebounds20.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over-14258.7%Under+10848.1%
  • CAlperen Sengun
    Player props7 markets
    Total Assists5.5Over+10249.5%Under-13457.3%
    Total Assists and Rebounds14.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
    Total Points19.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Assists25.5Over-10651.5%Under-12455.4%
    Total Points and Rebounds28.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists34.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Rebounds8.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
Relevant Bench
  • GReed Sheppard
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+10848.1%Under-14258.7%
    Total Assists3.5Over+11546.5%Under-15160.2%
    Total Points11.5Over-10551.2%Under-12255.0%
    Total Points and Assists14.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
Atlanta Hawks
Expected Starters
  • PGCJ McCollum
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13243.1%Under-17563.6%
    Total Assists3.5Over+12344.8%Under-16261.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over+11147.4%Under-14759.5%
    Total Points16.5Over-10551.2%Under-12255.0%
    Total Points and Assists19.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points and Rebounds19.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists22.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-15460.6%Under+11746.1%
  • SGNickeil Alexander-Walker
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-15160.2%Under+11446.7%
    Total Assists3.5Over+13043.5%Under-17263.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over-10350.7%Under-12755.9%
    Total Points18.5Over-11353.1%Under-11252.8%
    Total Points and Assists21.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds21.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists25.5Over-11052.4%Under-11954.3%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+12444.6%Under-16462.1%
  • SFDyson Daniels
    Player props7 markets
    Total Assists4.5Over-12956.3%Under-10250.5%
    Total Assists and Rebounds11.5Over+10349.3%Under-13557.4%
    Total Points11.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Assists16.5Over-11052.4%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds17.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists22.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Rebounds6.5Over+10349.3%Under-13557.4%
  • PFJalen Johnson
    Player props7 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10449.0%Under-13858.0%
    Total Assists6.5Over-11753.9%Under-11252.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds16.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Points20.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Assists27.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
    Total Points and Rebounds30.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Rebounds9.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
  • COnyeka Okongwu
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
    Total Assists2.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
    Total Points12.5Over-11353.1%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points and Assists14.5Over-12755.9%Under-10350.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds19.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists21.5Over-11753.9%Under-11252.8%
    Total Rebounds6.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
Relevant Bench
  • FAaron Wiggins
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%
    Total Points10.5Over-10751.7%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds13.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+12644.2%Under-16662.4%


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