NBA matchup
10/24/202610:00 PMMortgage Matchup CenterPhoenix, AZ

Warriors2 – 3vsSuns1 – 2

Sharp side
🏠 Suns -9.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 221.5
Model value
Model trendGolden State Warriors games: +0.82 units on model total bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model total bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Golden State Warriors went 2–1 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.82 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Golden State Warriors92.43.3%
Phoenix Suns116.896.7%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Golden State WarriorsFB-D+
Phoenix SunsB-B+B
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, with abstracted signage and anonymous figures.Warriors vs. Suns preview: Can Phoenix justify a big spread?Phoenix is a 9.5-point favorite despite a rough opener. Golden State’s backcourt availability and the Suns’ shooting response make this more than a simple bounce-back spot.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+320+9.5 (-105)
PHX-410-9.5 (-115)
Total 221.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+320+9.5 (-105)
PHX-425-9.5 (-115)
Total 221.5Over -110Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+300+9.5 (-110)
PHX-400-9.5 (-110)
Total 221.5Over -107Under -114
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+310+10.0 (-110)
PHX-400-10.0 (-110)
Total 221.5Over -115Under -105
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+340+10.0 (-110)
PHX-420-10.0 (-110)
Total 221.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+315+9.5 (-108)
PHX-400-9.5 (-112)
Total 221.5Over -108Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+325+9.5 (-105)
PHX-425-9.5 (-115)
Total 222.5Over -105Under -115
Kalshi
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+335—
PHX-355—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+320+9.5 (-105)
PHX-425-9.5 (-115)
Total 221.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Golden State Warriors

Overall2–8–0W–L–TATS3–7–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/23/26vs MEML 108–111L -4.5U 236.5
10/21/26@ LALL 105–127L +6.5U 233.5
4/17/26@ PHXL 96–111L +2.5U 219.5
4/15/26@ LACW 126–121W +5.5O 220.5
4/12/26@ LACL 110–115L +3.5U 229.5
4/10/26@ SACL 118–124L -10.5O 228.5
4/9/26vs LALL 103–119L -1.5U 222.5
4/7/26vs SACW 110–105L -14.5U 233.5
4/5/26vs HOUL 116–117W +3.5O 227.5
4/2/26vs CLEL 111–118W +10.5U 230.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Phoenix Suns

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/21/26@ PORL 83–124L +3.5U 232.5
4/27/26vs OKCL 122–131W +11.5O 215.5
4/25/26vs OKCL 109–121L +8.5O 211.5
4/22/26@ OKCL 107–120W +17.5O 216.5
4/19/26@ OKCL 84–119L +16.5U 216.5
4/17/26vs GSW 111–96W -2.5U 219.5
4/14/26vs PORL 110–114L -2.5O 215.5
4/12/26@ OKCW 135–103W +7.5O 213.5
4/10/26@ LALL 73–101L -2.5U 217.5
4/8/26vs DALW 112–107L -12.5U 234.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Warriors and Suns
Statistic
33.8 (40.8)Field Goals Made42.6 (40.7)
11.1 (15.5)Three-Pointers Made15.4 (14.6)
13.7 (16.9)Free Throws Made16.2 (15.9)
42.0 (42.2)Rebounds45.1 (42.7)
22.9 (28.7)Assists25.6 (24.4)
9.1 (9.7)Steals9.6 (9.5)
4.1 (4.1)Blocks4.3 (4.2)
15.4 (15.2)Turnovers13.4 (13.6)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Golden State Warriors
Expected Starters
  • PGStephen Curry
  • SGBrandin Podziemski
  • SFYaxel Lendeborg
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18765.2%
    Total Assists3.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds11.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points16.5Over-11753.9%Under-10952.2%
    Total Points and Assists20.5Over-12255.0%Under-10751.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds24.5Over-11052.4%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists28.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Rebounds7.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
  • PFGui Santos
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
    Total Assists3.5Over+11047.6%Under-14559.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-13156.7%Under+10050.0%
    Total Points13.5Over-10150.2%Under-12655.8%
    Total Points and Assists16.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-12154.8%Under-10851.9%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists22.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
  • CDraymond Green
Relevant Bench
  • GBrandon Williams
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16238.2%
    Total Assists4.5Over-11954.3%Under-11052.4%
    Total Assists and Rebounds7.5Over-14358.8%Under+10947.8%
    Total Points15.5Over-12455.4%Under-10350.7%
    Total Points and Assists20.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points and Rebounds19.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists24.5Over-10651.5%Under-12455.4%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
  • GDe'Anthony Melton
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Assists2.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points12.5Over-10350.7%Under-12455.4%
    Total Points and Assists15.5Over-10952.2%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds15.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists19.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-10851.9%Under-12154.8%
Phoenix Suns
Expected Starters
  • PGDevin Booker
    Player props11 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Assists5.5Over+10548.8%Under-13858.0%
    Total Assists and Rebounds9.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
    Total Blocks0.5Over+18435.2%Under-25071.4%
    Total Points23.5Over-12355.2%Under-10350.7%
    Total Points and Assists29.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points and Rebounds28.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists33.5Over-11753.9%Under-11252.8%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-13858.0%Under+10548.8%
    Total Steals0.5Over-19466.0%Under+14540.8%
    Total Steals and Blocks1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17363.4%
  • SGJalen Green
    Player props11 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+10249.5%Under-13557.4%
    Total Assists3.5Over-14759.5%Under+11247.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over+10748.3%Under-14158.5%
    Total Blocks0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20166.8%
    Total Points18.5Over-11753.9%Under-10952.2%
    Total Points and Assists22.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points and Rebounds23.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists27.5Over-10651.5%Under-12455.4%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over+11346.9%Under-15060.0%
    Total Steals0.5Over-24671.1%Under+18235.5%
    Total Steals and Blocks1.5Over-10350.7%Under-12956.3%
  • SFDillon Brooks
    Player props7 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15761.1%Under+11945.7%
    Total Blocks0.5Over+21431.8%Under-29274.5%
    Total Points16.5Over-10350.7%Under-12455.4%
    Total Points and Rebounds19.5Over-12655.8%Under-10451.0%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Steals0.5Over-21167.8%Under+15738.9%
    Total Steals and Blocks1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16762.5%
  • PFMiles Bridges
    Player props11 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
    Total Assists2.5Over-13557.4%Under+10349.3%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
    Total Blocks0.5Over-10551.2%Under-12655.8%
    Total Points14.5Over-12655.8%Under-10150.2%
    Total Points and Assists17.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds20.5Over-12655.8%Under-10451.0%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists23.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%
    Total Steals0.5Over-18865.3%Under+14041.7%
    Total Steals and Blocks1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12455.4%
  • CKhaman Maluach
    Player props6 markets
    Total Blocks1.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
    Total Points8.5Over-11653.7%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points and Rebounds17.5Over-12856.1%Under-10350.7%
    Total Rebounds8.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
    Total Steals0.5Over-10851.9%Under-12355.2%
    Total Steals and Blocks2.5Over-10952.2%Under-12255.0%
Relevant Bench
  • GCollin Gillespie
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13342.9%Under-17663.8%
    Total Assists2.5Over-16762.5%Under+12644.2%
    Total Points8.5Over-12755.9%Under+10050.0%
    Total Points and Assists12.5Over-10250.5%Under-12856.1%


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