NBA matchup
10/25/20265:00 PMDelta CenterSalt Lake City, UT

Lakers4 – 1vsJazz1 – 4

Sharp side
✈️ Lakers -6.5
Model value
Model trendLos Angeles Lakers games: +0.65 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Los Angeles Lakers went 3–2 (60.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.65 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
↑ Over 237.5
Model value
Model trendLos Angeles Lakers games: +3.64 units on model total bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model total bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Los Angeles Lakers went 4–0 (100.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 3.64 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Los Angeles Lakers130.771.3%
Utah Jazz123.328.7%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Los Angeles LakersA-C+B
Utah JazzB+D-C
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of the basketball court inside Delta Center in Salt Lake City, with green keys, steep green seating and an abstract suspended scoreboard.Kessler’s Utah return puts the Lakers’ supporting cast in focusWalker Kessler returns to Utah after another big night for Los Angeles. The Lakers have scoring support beyond Luka Doncic, but turnovers and Utah’s rebounding outlook complicate a 6.5-point spread.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
LAL-250-6.5 (-110)
UTAH+205+6.5 (-110)
Total 237.5Over -105Under -115
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
LAL-250-6.5 (-110)
UTAH+200+6.5 (-110)
Total 238.5Over -105Under -115
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
LAL-250-6.5 (-108)
UTAH+200+6.5 (-113)
Total 238.5Over -114Under -107
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
LAL-250-6.5 (-110)
UTAH+205+6.5 (-110)
Total 238.5Over -105Under -115
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
LAL-235-6.5 (-110)
UTAH+200+6.5 (-110)
Total 238.0Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
LAL-225-6.5 (-105)
UTAH+188+6.5 (-115)
Total 237.5Over -112Under -106
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
LAL-250-6.5 (-115)
UTAH+200+6.5 (-105)
Total 237.5Over -110Under -110
Kalshi
TeamMoneylineSpread
LAL-223—
UTAH+213—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
LAL-240-6.5 (-105)
UTAH+200+6.5 (-115)
Total 237.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Los Angeles Lakers

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/23/26vs LACW 125–117L -8.5O 225.5
10/21/26vs GSW 127–105W -6.5U 233.5
5/11/26vs OKCL 110–115W +12.5O 214.5
5/9/26vs OKCL 108–131L +9.5O 210.5
5/7/26@ OKCL 107–125L +15.5O 211.5
5/5/26@ OKCL 90–108L +15.5U 212.5
5/1/26@ HOUW 98–78W +5.5U 203.5
4/29/26vs HOUL 93–99L -3.5U 209.5
4/26/26@ HOUL 96–115L +3.5O 206.5
4/24/26@ HOUW 112–108W +7.5O 205.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Utah Jazz

Overall2–8–0W–L–TATS3–7–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/23/26vs NOW 120–119L -1.5O 238.5
10/21/26@ MEML 103–123L +1.5U 240.5
4/12/26@ LALL 107–131L +14.5U 239.5
4/10/26vs MEMW 147–101W -4.5O 247.5
4/7/26@ NOL 137–156L +6.5O 242.5
4/5/26@ OKCL 111–146L +24.5O 239.5
4/3/26@ HOUL 106–140L +18.5O 231.5
4/1/26vs DENL 117–130W +17.5U 249.5
3/30/26vs CLEL 113–122W +16.5U 242.5
3/28/26@ PHXL 109–134L +17.5O 232.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Lakers and Jazz
Statistic
46.8 (41.5)Field Goals Made44.4 (42.4)
13.5 (11.7)Three-Pointers Made13.4 (12.6)
23.6 (20.2)Free Throws Made21.1 (20.0)
39.6 (40.8)Rebounds42.8 (43.6)
29.7 (25.7)Assists31.0 (29.5)
9.1 (8.5)Steals9.1 (8.8)
3.9 (4.5)Blocks3.9 (3.9)
13.0 (14.2)Turnovers14.9 (15.1)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Los Angeles Lakers
Expected Starters
  • PGLuka Doncic
    Player props9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals3.5Over-14358.8%Under+10947.8%
    Total Assists7.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
    Total Assists and Rebounds15.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points31.5Over-10851.9%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points and Assists39.5Over-11453.3%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds39.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists47.5Over-11052.4%Under-11954.3%
    Total Rebounds7.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
    Total Steals1.5Over+11047.6%Under-14659.3%
  • SGAustin Reaves
    Player props9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13043.5%Under-17263.2%
    Total Assists5.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
    Total Assists and Rebounds10.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points22.5Over-11854.1%Under-10851.9%
    Total Points and Assists28.5Over-12054.5%Under-10952.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds27.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists33.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
    Total Steals1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
  • SFZiaire Williams
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13342.9%Under-17763.9%
    Total Points8.5Over-11653.7%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points and Rebounds11.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+13143.3%Under-17463.5%
  • PFMatisse Thybulle
    Player props6 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
    Total Points6.5Over+10449.0%Under-13256.9%
    Total Points and Rebounds8.5Over-13256.9%Under+10149.8%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists10.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Steals1.5Over-13457.3%Under+10149.8%
  • CWalker Kessler
    Player props4 markets
    Total Blocks2.5Over+13842.0%Under-18564.9%
    Total Points15.5Over-12755.9%Under+10050.0%
    Total Points and Rebounds27.5Over-11052.4%Under-11954.3%
    Total Rebounds11.5Over+10548.8%Under-13858.0%
Relevant Bench
  • GQuentin Grimes
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
    Total Assists2.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over+10648.5%Under-13958.2%
    Total Points10.5Over-13056.5%Under+10249.5%
    Total Points and Assists13.5Over-12856.1%Under-10250.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds14.5Over-11152.6%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists17.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+11247.2%Under-14759.5%
  • CSandro Mamukelashvili
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+16637.6%Under-22268.9%
    Total Points8.5Over-12355.2%Under-10350.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds13.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over-13056.5%Under-10150.2%
Utah Jazz
Expected Starters
  • PGKeyonte George
    Player props9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+12245.0%Under-16161.7%
    Total Assists6.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds9.5Over-14258.7%Under+10848.1%
    Total Points19.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Assists25.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds22.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists29.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-10651.5%Under-12455.4%
    Total Steals0.5Over-22369.0%Under+16637.6%
  • SGDarryn Peterson
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15360.5%
    Total Assists2.5Over-17263.2%Under+13043.5%
    Total Assists and Rebounds7.5Over+10648.5%Under-13958.2%
    Total Points13.5Over-10150.2%Under-12655.8%
    Total Points and Assists16.5Over-10651.5%Under-12455.4%
    Total Points and Rebounds17.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists20.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-15961.4%Under+12045.5%
  • SFAce Bailey
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
    Total Assists2.5Over+14141.5%Under-18765.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds5.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
    Total Points10.5Over-11653.7%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points and Assists12.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds14.5Over-11453.3%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists16.5Over-12054.5%Under-10952.2%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
  • PFLauri Markkanen
    Player props11 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+12344.8%Under-16261.8%
    Total Assists2.5Over+13143.3%Under-17363.4%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
    Total Blocks0.5Over+17336.6%Under-23470.1%
    Total Points20.5Over-12555.6%Under-10250.5%
    Total Points and Assists23.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds27.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists30.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Rebounds6.5Over-11052.4%Under-11954.3%
    Total Steals0.5Over-18765.2%Under+14041.7%
    Total Steals and Blocks1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%
  • CJaren Jackson Jr.
    Player props11 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12154.8%
    Total Assists2.5Over+12145.2%Under-16061.5%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-10751.7%Under-12255.0%
    Total Blocks0.5Over-21768.5%Under+16138.3%
    Total Points16.5Over-12555.6%Under-10250.5%
    Total Points and Assists19.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds23.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists25.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
    Total Rebounds6.5Over+11446.7%Under-15060.0%
    Total Steals1.5Over+14341.2%Under-19165.6%
    Total Steals and Blocks2.5Over+11346.9%Under-15160.2%
Relevant Bench
  • GIsaiah Collier
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists4.5Over-14358.8%Under+10947.8%
    Total Points6.5Over-10651.5%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points and Assists11.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
  • CJaxson Hayes
    Player props4 markets
    Total Blocks0.5Over-20166.8%Under+15040.0%
    Total Points7.5Over-11854.1%Under-10851.9%
    Total Points and Rebounds13.5Over-12655.8%Under-10451.0%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%


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