NBA matchup
10/26/20268:30 PMToyota CenterHouston, TX

Hawks3 – 3vsRockets5 – 1

Sharp side
🏠 Rockets -4.5
Model value
Model trendAtlanta Hawks games: +1.65 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Atlanta Hawks went 4–2 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.65 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
↑ Over 228.5
Model value
Model trendAtlanta Hawks games: +1.52 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Atlanta Hawks went 4–2 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.52 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Atlanta Hawks108.315.1%
Houston Rockets121.984.9%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Atlanta HawksB-CC+
Houston RocketsBA-A-
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Toyota Center in HoustonHawks–Rockets rematch puts second chances in the spotlightHouston's rebounding helped win the first meeting, but Atlanta has room to improve from deep. Those competing factors shape the rematch's 5.5-point spread and 229.5 total.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+160+4.5 (-108)
HOU-192-4.5 (-112)
Total 228.5Over -115Under -105
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+154+4.5 (-110)
HOU-190-4.5 (-110)
Total 229.5Over -110Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+165+5.5 (-115)
HOU-200-5.5 (-106)
Total 230.5Over -107Under -114
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+158+4.5 (-105)
HOU-190-4.5 (-115)
Total 229.5Over -110Under -110
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+155+4.5 (-110)
HOU-180-4.5 (-110)
Total 229.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+156+4.5 (-106)
HOU-186-4.5 (-114)
Total 229.5Over -112Under -106
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+170+4.5 (-105)
HOU-200-4.5 (-115)
Total 230.5Over +100Under -115
Kalshi
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+170—
HOU-186—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
ATL+155+4.5 (-115)
HOU-185-4.5 (-105)
Total 229.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

Atlanta Hawks

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26vs HOUL 114–121L +1.5O 227.5
10/23/26@ CHAW 128–81W -2.5U 226.5
10/21/26@ ORLW 132–125W +2.5O 233.5
4/30/26vs NYL 89–140L +2.5O 215.5
4/28/26@ NYL 97–126L +6.5O 214.5
4/25/26vs NYL 98–114L +2.5U 215.5
4/23/26vs NYW 109–108W +1.5O 214.5
4/20/26@ NYW 107–106W +5.5U 218.5
4/18/26@ NYL 102–113L +5.5U 217.5
4/12/26@ MIAL 117–143L +10.5O 239.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Houston Rockets

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26@ ATLW 121–114W -1.5O 227.5
10/23/26@ SAW 114–110W +4.5U 224.5
10/21/26vs DALW 128–110W -9.5O 230.5
5/1/26vs LALL 78–98L -5.5U 203.5
4/29/26@ LALW 99–93W +3.5U 209.5
4/26/26vs LALW 115–96W -3.5O 206.5
4/24/26vs LALL 108–112L -7.5O 205.5
4/21/26@ LALL 94–101L -5.5U 209.5
4/18/26@ LALL 98–107L -2.5U 208.5
4/12/26vs MEMW 132–101W -14.5O 230.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Hawks and Rockets
Statistic
40.0 (43.4)Field Goals Made45.2 (42.6)
13.0 (14.5)Three-Pointers Made12.6 (11.4)
15.3 (16.5)Free Throws Made19.0 (17.7)
42.1 (43.2)Rebounds47.6 (47.5)
27.1 (29.9)Assists27.1 (25.3)
8.8 (9.4)Steals8.8 (8.7)
4.4 (4.6)Blocks5.7 (5.7)
13.5 (13.4)Turnovers14.0 (14.2)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Atlanta Hawks
Expected Starters
  • PGCJ McCollum
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18364.7%Under+13842.0%
    Total Assists2.5Over-14859.7%Under+11346.9%
    Total Assists and Rebounds5.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points15.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Assists18.5Over-11353.1%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists21.5Over-10451.0%Under-12655.8%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-10451.0%Under-12655.8%
  • SGNickeil Alexander-Walker
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-14058.3%Under+10648.5%
    Total Assists3.5Over+12245.0%Under-16161.7%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points17.5Over-12355.2%Under-10451.0%
    Total Points and Assists21.5Over-11152.6%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points and Rebounds21.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists24.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
  • SFDyson Daniels
    Player props7 markets
    Total Assists4.5Over+11247.2%Under-14759.5%
    Total Assists and Rebounds10.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points11.5Over-13056.5%Under+10249.5%
    Total Points and Assists16.5Over-11152.6%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists22.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Rebounds6.5Over+11147.4%Under-14659.3%
  • PFJalen Johnson
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
    Total Assists7.5Over+10947.8%Under-14358.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds16.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Points21.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Assists28.5Over-11954.3%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points and Rebounds30.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists37.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Rebounds8.5Over-13357.1%Under+10149.8%
  • COnyeka Okongwu
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15360.5%
    Total Assists2.5Over+12344.8%Under-16261.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points11.5Over-11653.7%Under-10952.2%
    Total Points and Assists14.5Over-10250.5%Under-12956.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-10451.0%Under-12655.8%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists20.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Rebounds6.5Over+10848.1%Under-14258.7%
Relevant Bench
  • FAaron Wiggins
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11646.3%
    Total Points11.5Over-11252.8%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds14.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-15560.8%Under+11845.9%
  • CJock Landale
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-16562.3%Under+12544.4%
    Total Points6.5Over+10548.8%Under-13357.1%
    Total Points and Rebounds10.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-14859.7%Under+11247.2%
  • FLuguentz Dort
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11446.7%Under-15060.0%
    Total Points6.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds9.5Over-11453.3%Under-11553.5%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
Houston Rockets
Expected Starters
  • PGFred VanVleet
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11346.9%Under-14859.7%
    Total Assists5.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-11453.3%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points11.5Over-11453.3%Under-11252.8%
    Total Points and Assists17.5Over-11353.1%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds14.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists20.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-13858.0%Under+10548.8%
  • SGAmen Thompson
    Player props8 markets
    Total Assists4.5Over+12744.1%Under-16862.7%
    Total Assists and Rebounds12.5Over-11453.3%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points17.5Over+10050.0%Under-12755.9%
    Total Points and Assists21.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
    Total Points and Rebounds25.5Over-11753.9%Under-11252.8%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists29.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Rebounds8.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Steals1.5Over+10648.5%Under-14158.5%
  • SFKevin Durant
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12943.7%
    Total Assists3.5Over-13357.1%Under+10149.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
    Total Points23.5Over-11152.6%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points and Assists27.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds28.5Over-11954.3%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists32.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
  • PFJabari Smith Jr.
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18064.3%Under+13642.4%
    Total Points14.5Over-10150.2%Under-12655.8%
    Total Points and Rebounds20.5Over-10451.0%Under-12655.8%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over-12655.8%Under-10551.2%
  • CAlperen Sengun
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over+10249.5%Under-13457.3%
    Total Assists4.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
    Total Assists and Rebounds14.5Over-11052.4%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points19.5Over-12054.5%Under-10751.7%
    Total Points and Assists25.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds29.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists34.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Rebounds9.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
Relevant Bench
  • GReed Sheppard
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
    Total Assists2.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
    Total Assists and Rebounds4.5Over-15460.6%Under+11746.1%
    Total Points8.5Over-12054.5%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points and Assists11.5Over-12555.6%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds11.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists14.5Over-10150.2%Under-13056.5%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over+13941.8%Under-18564.9%
  • FTari Eason
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-23570.1%Under+17536.4%
    Total Points10.5Over-12555.6%Under-10250.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds16.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%


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