Thunder6 – 2vsGrizzlies6 – 2

Sharp side

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Model value

Sharp total

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Model value

Model trendOklahoma City Thunder games: +3.56 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Oklahoma City Thunder are on a 4-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 3.56 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Oklahoma City Thunder	C	A	B
Memphis Grizzlies	C+	D	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

OKC-155-3.5 (-102)

MEM+130+3.5 (-118)

Total 225.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 3 games

Oklahoma City Thunder

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/4/26	vs CLE	W 124–116	W -3.5	O 226.5
11/2/26	@ CLE	W 117–112	W +4.5	U 229.5
10/31/26	@ HOU	L 98–119	L +2.5	U 219.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Memphis Grizzlies

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/4/26	vs IND	L 103–107	L -5.5	U 227.5
11/2/26	vs NO	L 134–135	L -5.5	O 231.5
10/31/26	vs SAC	W 136–105	W -7.5	O 229.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Thunder and Grizzlies
	Statistic
40.8 (42.6)	Field Goals Made	39.2 (41.7)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder

Expected Starters

PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11746.1%Under-15460.6%
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SGAjay Mitchell
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14840.3%Under-19766.3%
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SFAlex Caruso
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
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PFJaylin WilliamsOut
Williams (back) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Grizzlies.
Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 6:20 PM EST
CIsaiah Hartenstein
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists3.5Over+11646.3%Under-15460.6%
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Relevant Bench

CAday Mara
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points8.5Over+10449.0%Under-13256.9%
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GJared McCain
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+14041.7%Under-18665.0%
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FKenrich Williams
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
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Memphis Grizzlies

Expected Starters

PGTy Jerome
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-11753.9%Under-11252.8%
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SGCedric Coward
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-14559.2%Under+11047.6%
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SFJaylen Wells
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15861.2%Under+12045.5%
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PFCameron Boozer
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+14441.0%Under-19165.6%
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CZach Edey
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total Blocks1.5Over+11746.1%Under-15660.9%
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Relevant Bench

GCam Spencer
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+15738.9%Under-21067.7%
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FJerami Grant
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
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Player availability

Injury report

Oklahoma City Thunder

GCason WallaceShoulderOut
Wallace underwent surgery Friday to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:16 PM EDT
CChet HolmgrenKneeOut
Holmgren underwent a biological treatment Friday to address a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least 8-10 weeks, Nick Crain of Slam reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:02 PM EDT
GJalen WilliamsLegOut
Williams (leg) underwent successful surgery Wednesday to "address a fractured left fibula and reconstruction of ankle ligaments following a fracture and dislocation." He will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Tim MacMahon of ESPN.com reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 7:41 PM EDT

Memphis Grizzlies

CIsaiah StewartKneeOut
Stewart (knee) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Thunder.
Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 6:04 PM EST
GScotty Pippen Jr.BackOut
Pippen (back) has been ruled out for Friday's game against Oklahoma City.
Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 6:03 PM EST