NBA matchup
11/06/20268:00 PMSmoothie King CenterNew Orleans, LA

Timberwolves6 – 3vsPelicans4 – 4

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendNew Orleans Pelicans games: +3.79 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring New Orleans Pelicans are on a 4-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 3.79 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value
Model trendNew Orleans Pelicans games: +3.38 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring New Orleans Pelicans went 6–2 (75.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 3.38 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Minnesota TimberwolvesC-B-C
New Orleans PelicansA-D+B-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
MIN-184-4.5 (-105)
NO+154+4.5 (-115)
Total 230.5Over -112Under -108
Recent form

Last 3 games

Minnesota Timberwolves

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/4/26@ HOUW 117–107W +7.5O 219.5
11/2/26vs MILW 112–100W -11.5U 233.5
10/31/26@ SAL 111–121W +12.5O 230.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New Orleans Pelicans

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/4/26vs UTAHW 120–113W -5.5O 231.5
11/2/26@ MEMW 135–134W +5.5O 231.5
10/31/26vs ATLW 121–99W +5.5U 239.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Timberwolves and Pelicans
Statistic
40.0 (42.5)Field Goals Made45.4 (42.6)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves
Expected Starters
  • PGLaMelo Ball
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals3.5Over-12655.8%Under-10451.0%
  • SGAyo Dosunmu
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-16662.4%Under+12644.2%
  • SFJaden McDaniels
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
  • PFJonathan Kuminga
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
  • CRudy Gobert
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Assists1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
Relevant Bench
  • FTerrence Shannon Jr.Day-To-Day
    Shannon (hip) is questionable for Friday's game against New Orleans.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:58 PM EST
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
New Orleans Pelicans
Expected Starters
  • PGDejounte Murray
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12544.4%Under-16562.3%
  • SGJeremiah Fears
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12344.8%Under-16362.0%
  • SFTrey Murphy IIIDay-To-Day
    Murphy (knee) is probable for Friday's game against Minnesota.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 3:19 PM EST
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+12045.5%Under-15861.2%
  • PFZion Williamson
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Assists2.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
  • CYves MissiOut
    Missi (knee) is out for Friday's game against Minnesota.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 3:47 PM EST
Relevant Bench
  • CDerik Queen
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Assists2.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
  • CKarlo Matkovic
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Points6.5Over-10751.7%Under-11954.3%
  • FSaddiq Bey
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%

Player availability

Injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • GAnthony EdwardsKneeOut
    Edwards underwent a successful arthroscopic procedure on his right knee Thursday, the Timberwolves announced.
    Updated: Oct 29, 2026 at 2:33 PM EDT
  • GDonte DiVincenzoAchillesOut
    DiVincenzo (Achilles) remains confident that he'll return during the 2026-27 season, Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Oct 5, 2026 at 4:53 PM EDT
  • GTerrence Shannon Jr.HipDay-To-Day
    Shannon (hip) is questionable for Friday's game against New Orleans.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:58 PM EST
New Orleans Pelicans
  • CYves MissiKneeOut
    Missi (knee) is out for Friday's game against Minnesota.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 3:47 PM EST
  • FTrey Murphy IIIKneeDay-To-Day
    Murphy (knee) is probable for Friday's game against Minnesota.
    Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 3:19 PM EST

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