Jazz1 – 7vsMavericks4 – 4

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendDallas Mavericks games: +1.35 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Dallas Mavericks went 5–3 (62.5%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.35 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

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Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Utah Jazz	C	D-	D+
Dallas Mavericks	B	C-	C

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

UTAH+227+7.5 (-116)

DAL-277-7.5 (-104)

Total 226.5Over -107Under -113

Recent form

Last 3 games

Utah Jazz

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/4/26	@ NO	L 113–120	L +5.5	O 231.5
11/2/26	@ SA	L 97–119	L +16.5	U 226.5
10/31/26	vs POR	L 90–112	L +6.5	U 232.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Dallas Mavericks

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/4/26	@ SA	L 111–112	W +12.5	U 226.5
11/2/26	vs SAC	L 100–115	L -7.5	U 232.5
10/30/26	vs HOU	W 116–111	W +5.5	O 223.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Jazz and Mavericks
	Statistic
40.6 (42.5)	Field Goals Made	45.8 (42.3)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Utah Jazz

Expected Starters

PGKeyonte George
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
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SGDarryn Peterson
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
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SFAce Bailey
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10548.8%
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PFLauri Markkanen
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
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CJaxson Hayes
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists1.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
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Dallas Mavericks

Expected Starters

PGKyrie Irving
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-16562.3%Under+12544.4%
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SGMax ChristieDay-To-Day
Christie (hip) is probable for Friday's game against the Jazz.
Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:20 PM EST
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11854.1%Under-11252.8%
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SFCooper Flagg
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16161.7%
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PFP.J. Washington
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
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CDaniel Gafford
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists1.5Over-14358.8%Under+10947.8%
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Relevant Bench

FNaji Marshall
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists3.5Over+10848.1%Under-14258.7%
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Player availability

Injury report

Utah Jazz

FJaren Jackson Jr.KneeOut
Jackson has been diagnosed with a torn MCL in his right knee and will be sidelined for 6-to-8 weeks, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 3:25 PM EDT
CJusuf NurkicFootOut
Nurkic (foot) is out for Wednesday's game against the Pelicans.
Updated: Nov 3, 2026 at 6:07 PM EST
GTrey AlexanderKneeOut
Alexander won't play Wednesday against the Grizzlies due to a left knee bone bruise.
Updated: Oct 24, 2026 at 7:18 PM EDT

Dallas Mavericks

CDereck Lively IIFootOut
Lively (foot) is listed as out for Monday's game against the Kings.
Updated: Nov 1, 2026 at 5:57 PM EST
FSanti AldamaKneeOut
Aldama (knee) is probable to suit up for Friday's game against the Jazz.
Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:24 PM EST
FSergio de LarreaKneeOut
De Larrea (knee) is out for Friday's game against Utah.
Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 5:24 PM EST