NBA matchup

11/07/20269:00 PMMortgage Matchup CenterPhoenix, AZ

Rockets7 – 2vsSuns2 – 5

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendHouston Rockets games: +2.44 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Houston Rockets went 6–3 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.44 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendHouston Rockets games: +3.67 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Houston Rockets are on a 4-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 3.67 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Houston Rockets	B	A	B+
Phoenix Suns	B	B	B

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, with abstracted signage and anonymous figures.

Rockets vs. Suns preview: Can Phoenix sustain its offensive recovery?Phoenix’s hot shooting and points off turnovers ended its skid. Houston offers a different test after its own late defensive breakdown against Minnesota.Read analysis

Rockets Parlay Picks vs. Suns: Side & Support Parlay PlaysCompare Durant’s modest assist target, Smith’s points line and VanVleet’s passing around a Houston win over Phoenix, with records and individual prices.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

HOU-284-6.5 (-115)

PHX+231+6.5 (-105)

Total 223.5Over -113Under -107

Recent form

Last 3 games

Houston Rockets

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/4/26	vs MIN	L 107–117	L -7.5	O 219.5
11/2/26	vs BOS	W 109–93	W -4.5	U 215.5
10/31/26	vs OKC	W 119–98	W -2.5	U 219.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Phoenix Suns

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/5/26	vs ORL	W 117–104	W -1.5	U 222.5
11/4/26	vs POR	L 119–132	L +2.5	O 227.5
11/2/26	@ GS	L 113–116	L +2.5	O 227.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockets and Suns
	Statistic
42.8 (42.3)	Field Goals Made	41.3 (40.8)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Houston Rockets

Expected Starters

PGFred VanVleet
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+10249.5%Under-13457.3%
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SGAmen Thompson
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Assists3.5Over-15460.6%Under+11746.1%
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SFKevin Durant
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-14859.7%Under+11247.2%
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PFJabari Smith Jr.
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11446.7%Under-15060.0%
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CAlperen Sengun
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists6.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
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Relevant Bench

GMarcus Smart
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14041.7%Under-18564.9%
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GReed Sheppard
Player props1 of 5 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-16862.7%Under+12744.1%
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FTari Eason
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13742.2%Under-18164.4%
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Phoenix Suns

Expected Starters

PGDevin Booker
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-14258.7%Under+10748.3%
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SGJalen Green
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
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SFDillon Brooks
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15861.2%Under+11945.7%
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PFMiles Bridges
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18464.8%Under+13941.8%
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COso Ighodaro
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists2.5Over-15961.4%Under+12145.2%
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Relevant Bench

GCollin Gillespie
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13642.4%Under-18064.3%
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CKhaman Maluach
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points5.5Over-11954.3%Under-10751.7%
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Player availability

Injury report

Houston Rockets

CClint CapelaAnkleOut
Capela (ankle) is out for Saturday's game against the Suns.
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 at 3:32 PM EST
CSteven AdamsCalfOut
Head coach Ime Udoka said Wednesday that Adams (calf) is still without a timetable to return and will be evaluated on a "weekly basis," Varun Shankar of the Houston Chronicle reports.
Updated: Nov 4, 2026 at 7:21 PM EST

Phoenix Suns

CMark WilliamsShoulderOut
Williams underwent surgery Thursday to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will miss an extended period of time, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Updated: Sep 11, 2026 at 12:03 PM EDT
GJordan GoodwinCalfDay-To-Day
Goodwin (calf) is doubtful for Saturday's game against the Rockets.
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 at 7:20 PM EST
FRasheer FlemingAnkleDay-To-Day
Fleming (ankle) is questionable for Saturday's game against the Rockets.
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 at 7:20 PM EST