NBA matchup

11/07/20268:00 PMPaycom CenterOklahoma City, OK

Wizards4 – 5vsThunder7 – 2

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendWashington Wizards games: +2.47 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Washington Wizards went 6–3 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.47 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendOklahoma City Thunder games: +0.46 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Oklahoma City Thunder went 5–4 (55.6%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.46 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Washington Wizards	B	D	C
Oklahoma City Thunder	C-	A	B

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Paycom Center in Oklahoma City

Wizards vs. Thunder preview: Ball security matters beyond the hot shootingWashington's hot shooting couldn't overcome its defensive concessions in Atlanta. Oklahoma City's points off turnovers put possession quality at the center of the matchup.Read analysis

Wizards Parlay Picks vs. Thunder: Side & Support Parlay PlaysYoung’s nine-assist target, George’s points cushion and Gilgeous-Alexander’s steals under offer three choices to compare around a Wizards win.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

WSH+411+11.5 (-106)

OKC-545-11.5 (-115)

Total 222.5Over -112Under -108

Recent form

Last 3 games

Washington Wizards

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/6/26	@ ATL	L 132–139	W +8.5	O 228.5
11/4/26	vs ATL	L 105–120	L +1.5	U 229.5
11/2/26	@ ORL	W 103–94	W +2.5	U 224.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/6/26	@ MEM	W 128–97	W -4.5	O 224.5
11/4/26	vs CLE	W 124–116	W -3.5	O 226.5
11/2/26	@ CLE	W 117–112	W +4.5	U 229.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Wizards and Thunder
	Statistic
41.1 (41.6)	Field Goals Made	42.2 (42.7)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Washington Wizards

Expected Starters

PGTrae Young
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17563.6%Under+13342.9%
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SGKyshawn George
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17663.8%Under+13342.9%
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SFAJ Dybantsa
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Assists2.5Over+12145.2%Under-15961.4%
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PFAnthony DavisDay-To-Day
Davis (ankle) is listed as out for Friday's game against the Hawks.
Updated: Nov 7, 2026 at 10:05 AM EST
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Assists2.5Over+11746.1%Under-15560.8%
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CAlex Sarr
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total Assists1.5Over-19265.8%Under+14441.0%
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Relevant Bench

FBilal Coulibaly
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points8.5Over+10449.0%Under-13256.9%
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Oklahoma City Thunder

Expected Starters

PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13742.2%Under-18264.5%
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SGAjay Mitchell
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+16038.5%Under-21368.1%
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SFAlex Caruso
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12245.0%Under-16161.7%
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PFJaylin WilliamsDay-To-Day
Williams (back) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Grizzlies.
Updated: Nov 7, 2026 at 10:04 AM EST
CIsaiah Hartenstein
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists3.5Over+11945.7%Under-15660.9%
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Relevant Bench

CAday Mara
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points7.5Over-12455.4%Under-10350.7%
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GJared McCain
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-16662.4%Under+12644.2%
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FKenrich Williams
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13542.6%Under-17864.0%
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Player availability

Injury report

Washington Wizards

GJamir WatkinsKneeOut
The Wizards announced Thursday that Watkins has undergone surgery for a torn ACL.
Updated: Jul 30, 2026 at 4:11 PM EDT
FJustin ChampagnieFootOut
Champagnie (foot) is expected to miss several months, per Josh Robbins of The Athletic.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 2:38 PM EDT
GReece BeekmanShoulderOut
The Wizards announced Monday that Beekman sustained a right acromioclavicular joint injury and will be re-evaluated in approximately three weeks.
Updated: Nov 2, 2026 at 1:22 PM EST

Oklahoma City Thunder

GCason WallaceShoulderOut
Wallace underwent surgery Friday to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:16 PM EDT
CChet HolmgrenKneeOut
Holmgren underwent a biological treatment Friday to address a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least 8-10 weeks, Nick Crain of Slam reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:02 PM EDT
GJalen WilliamsLegOut
Williams (leg) underwent successful surgery Wednesday to "address a fractured left fibula and reconstruction of ankle ligaments following a fracture and dislocation." He will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Tim MacMahon of ESPN.com reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 7:41 PM EDT