NHL matchup

11/07/20267:00 PMScotiabank ArenaToronto, ON

Canadiens10 – 3 – 3vsMaple Leafs8 – 7 – 2

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendMontreal Canadiens games: +6.35 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Montreal Canadiens went 11–5 (68.8%) this season, for an estimated profit of 6.35 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendMontreal Canadiens games: +6.35 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Montreal Canadiens went 12–4 (75.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 6.35 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Skaters	Goalie	Overall
Montreal Canadiens	B	B-	B
Toronto Maple Leafs	C+	B-	C+

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, with anonymous painterly figures and unlettered surfaces.

Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs preview: Montreal’s scoring meets a closer goalie questionMontreal keeps finding goals, while Toronto's latest loss turned on a late power play. Recent goalie samples add nuance to the slight favorite and 6.5 total.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylinePuck Line

MTL-122-1.5 (+205)

TOR+102+1.5 (-250)

Total 6.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Last 3 games

Montreal Canadiens

Overall2–1–0W–L–TPuck Line1–2–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
11/5/26	vs UTAH	W 5–4	W +1.5	O 6.5
11/3/26	vs WPG	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 5.5
10/31/26	vs PIT	W 5–4	L -1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Overall1–2–0W–L–TPuck Line2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Puck Line	Total
11/3/26	vs UTAH	L 2–3	W +1.5	U 6.5
10/31/26	@ VAN	W 4–2	W -1.5	U 6.5
10/28/26	@ SEA	L 4–5	L -1.5	O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Canadiens and Maple Leafs
	Statistic
26.0 (26.1)	Shots	26.5 (26.4)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

CanadiensJacob FowlerExpected

Maple LeafsSergei BobrovskyExpected

Lineup context

Projected lines

Montreal Canadiens

First line

CNick Suzuki
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
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LWCole Caufield
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
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RWJuraj Slafkovsky
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+14540.8%Under-20066.7%
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DLane Hutson
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
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DNoah Dobson
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21067.7%
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Toronto Maple Leafs

First line

CAuston Matthews
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
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LWEaston Cowan
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+21531.7%Under-29574.7%
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RWJack Roslovic
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
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DJake McCabe
DDarren Raddysh
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
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Player availability

Injury report

Montreal Canadiens

DMike MathesonLower BodyOut
Matheson (lower body) is expected to miss two weeks, Renaud Lavoie of TVA Sports reports Saturday.
Updated: Oct 31, 2026 at 11:31 AM EDT
DBryce PickfordUndisclosedInjured Reserve
RWIvan DemidovAnkleInjured Reserve
Demidov (foot) skated Tuesday and could resume training with the team next week, Patrick Friolet of RDS reports.
Updated: Nov 4, 2026 at 4:04 PM EST

Toronto Maple Leafs

DCade WebberElbowInjured Reserve
GElvis MerzlikinsShoulderInjured Reserve
Merzlikins is expected to miss 4-6 months to begin the 2026-27 regular season while recovering from a shoulder injury, per Luke Fox of Sportsnet.
Updated: Sep 29, 2026 at 10:24 AM EDT
CJohn TavaresLower BodyInjured Reserve