NBA matchup

11/09/202610:00 PMChase CenterSan Francisco, CA

Pelicans4 – 6vsWarriors7 – 3

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendNew Orleans Pelicans games: +1.51 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring New Orleans Pelicans went 6–4 (60.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.51 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendNew Orleans Pelicans games: +1.38 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring New Orleans Pelicans went 6–4 (60.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.38 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
New Orleans Pelicans	B	D+	C
Golden State Warriors	C+	B-	C+

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Chase Center in San Francisco, with anonymous figures and unmarked surfaces.

Pelicans vs. Warriors Preview: Can New Orleans Keep Up From the Paint?New Orleans can score inside, but Golden State can build a lead from the arc. What happens when the Pelicans draw help will shape both the spread and the total.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

NO+312+9.5 (-115)

GS-395-9.5 (-106)

Total 232.5Over -105Under -115

Recent form

Last 3 games

New Orleans Pelicans

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/8/26	@ LAC	L 123–139	L -1.5	O 226.5
11/6/26	vs MIN	L 109–115	L +3.5	U 230.5
11/4/26	vs UTAH	W 120–113	W -5.5	O 231.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Golden State Warriors

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/7/26	vs ORL	W 126–119	L -7.5	O 220.5
11/5/26	vs MIA	W 120–100	W -3.5	U 236.5
11/2/26	vs PHX	W 116–113	W -2.5	O 227.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pelicans and Warriors
	Statistic
43.1 (42.5)	Field Goals Made	42.7 (40.9)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

New Orleans Pelicans

Expected Starters

PGDejounte Murray
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
SGJeremiah Fears
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15260.3%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
SFTrey Murphy III
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11746.1%Under-15460.6%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
PFZion Williamson
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists2.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
CYves MissiOut
Missi (knee) is out for Friday's game against Minnesota.
Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 3:47 PM EST

Relevant Bench

CDerik Queen
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists2.5Over+13442.7%Under-17763.9%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
CKarlo Matkovic
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points7.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
FSaddiq Bey
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15360.5%Under+11646.3%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access

Golden State Warriors

Expected Starters

PGStephen Curry
Player props1 of 9 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals4.5Over-10150.2%Under-13156.7%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
SGBrandin Podziemski
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+14540.8%Under-19265.8%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
SFYaxel Lendeborg
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-14158.5%Under+10748.3%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
PFGui SantosDay-To-Day
Santos (knee) is listed as probable for Monday's game against New Orleans.
Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 8:13 PM EST
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points8.5Over-10751.7%Under-11954.3%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
CDraymond Green
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists6.5Over+10848.1%Under-14358.8%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access

Relevant Bench

GDe'Anthony Melton
Player props1 of 5 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13056.5%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
FGeorges Niang
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10548.8%Under-13958.2%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access

Player availability

Injury report

New Orleans Pelicans

CYves MissiKneeOut
Missi (knee) is out for Friday's game against Minnesota.
Updated: Nov 5, 2026 at 3:47 PM EST

Golden State Warriors

FJimmy Butler IIIKneeOut
Butler (knee) could return sometime between January and February as he continues recovering from a torn right ACL, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 12:11 PM EDT
CKristaps PorzingisIllnessOut
Porzingis announced on his social media that he's stepping away from basketball.
Updated: Nov 6, 2026 at 4:26 PM EST
GMoses MoodyKneeOut
Moody (knee) is progressing toward a potential return between December and January after rupturing his left patellar tendon in March, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 12:14 PM EDT