CFB matchup
11/14/20263:00 PMPlaster StadiumSpringfield, MO

New Mexico State3 – 6vsMissouri State3 – 6

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendMissouri State Bears games: +3.58 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Missouri State Bears went 6–2 (75.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 3.58 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value
Model trendNew Mexico State Aggies games: +0.87 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring New Mexico State Aggies went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.87 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
New Mexico State AggiesDCD+
Missouri State BearsD+C-C-

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Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
NMSU-105+1.5 (-115)
MOST-115-1.5 (-105)
Total 50.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

New Mexico State Aggies

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/7/26vs LIBL 14–30L +14.5U 46.5
10/28/26vs JXSTL 0–24L +3U 50.5
10/21/26@ SHSUW 30–24W -3O 46.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Missouri State Bears

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/7/26@ FIUL 20–23W +4.5U 50.5
10/27/26vs SHSUW 24–3W -5.5U 51.5
10/20/26@ DELL 38–61L +3O 54.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for New Mexico State and Missouri State
Statistic
364.9 (344.2)Total Yards393.0 (380.6)



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