CFB matchup
11/14/20263:30 PMWilliams Stadium - LynchburgLynchburg, VA

Middle Tennessee5 – 4vsLiberty8 – 1

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders games: +1.49 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders went 5–3 (62.5%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.49 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value
Model trendMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders games: +4.51 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are on a 5-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 4.51 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersDC-D+
Liberty FlamesCC+C

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Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
MTSU+1100+20.5 (-110)
LIB-2100-20.5 (-110)
Total 54.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/7/26vs WKUW 51–42W +1.5O 53.5
10/28/26vs KENNL 28–44L +1.5O 49.5
10/20/26@ FIUW 26–23W +10.5O 46.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Liberty Flames

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/7/26@ NMSUW 30–14W -14.5U 46.5
10/31/26vs FIUW 49–10W -13.5O 45.5
10/22/26@ KENNW 34–6W -8.5U 50.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Middle Tennessee and Liberty
Statistic
320.2 (391.8)Total Yards425.8 (415.9)



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