NBA matchup
11/14/20267:30 PMRocket ArenaCleveland, OH

Mavericks7 – 5vsCavaliers6 – 7

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendDallas Mavericks games: +0.76 units on model side bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model side bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Dallas Mavericks went 2–1 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.76 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendCleveland Cavaliers games: +2.81 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Cleveland Cavaliers are on a 3-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 2.81 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Dallas MavericksB-D+C
Cleveland CavaliersB+C+B

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Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Rocket Arena in Cleveland, with anonymous figures and unbranded venue surfaces.Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Preview: Can Dallas Reset Against Cleveland’s Guards?Dallas needs a response from Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving. Cleveland brings scoring depth, but a disrupted turnaround and uncertainty around Evan Mobley complicate the matchup.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Rocket Arena in Cleveland, with anonymous figures and unbranded venue surfaces.Cavaliers Parlay Picks vs. Mavericks: Side & Support Player PropsPeyton Watson’s rebounds and assists and Cooper Flagg’s assist under give two ways to look at a Cleveland win.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Rocket Arena in Cleveland, with anonymous figures and unbranded venue surfaces.Mavericks Parlay Picks vs. Cavaliers: Side & Support Player PropsCooper Flagg’s passing leads three ways to look at a Dallas win, with a Jarrett Allen combo under and Daniel Gafford blocks also in play.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
DAL-204-4.5 (-115)
CLE+170+4.5 (-106)
Total 227.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 3 games

Dallas Mavericks

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/12/26@ MINL 94–133L +5.5O 226.5
11/9/26vs INDW 125–122L -4.5O 227.5
11/8/26vs BKNW 130–93W -7.5U 223.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/13/26@ MIAL 121–133L +2.5O 234.5
11/11/26@ NYW 115–107W +4.5O 220.5
11/9/26@ CHAL 112–124L -8.5O 215.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mavericks and Cavaliers
Statistic
42.1 (42.3)Field Goals Made46.5 (42.1)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Dallas Mavericks
Expected Starters
  • PGKyrie Irving
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals3.5Over+13243.1%Under-17463.5%
  • SGCaleb Martin
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Points4.5Over-11252.8%Under-11453.3%
  • SFCooper Flagg
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
  • PFP.J. Washington
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17763.9%Under+13442.7%
  • CDaniel Gafford
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Points7.5Over-12455.4%Under-10350.7%
Relevant Bench
  • FNaji Marshall
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Assists2.5Over-17263.2%Under+13043.5%
  • FZaccharie Risacher
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Points6.5Over+10050.0%Under-12755.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers
Expected Starters
  • PGJames HardenDay-To-Day
    Harden (left lower leg/calf tightness) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game against the Mavericks.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:28 PM EST
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
  • SGDonovan MitchellDay-To-Day
    Mitchell (knee) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game against the Mavericks.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:31 PM EST
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
  • SFPeyton WatsonDay-To-Day
    Watson (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game against the Mavericks.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:38 PM EST
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13442.7%Under-17763.9%
  • PFEvan MobleyOut
    Mobley (toe) has been ruled out for Saturday's meeting with Dallas.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:33 PM EST
  • CJarrett AllenDay-To-Day
    Allen (knee) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game against Dallas.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:31 PM EST
    Player props1 of 5 markets
    Total Blocks1.5Over+17836.0%Under-24170.7%

Player availability

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks
  • CDereck Lively IIFootOut
    Lively (foot) is listed as out for Thursday's game in Minnesota.
    Updated: Nov 11, 2026 at 5:13 PM EST
  • FSergio de LarreaKneeOut
    De Larrea (knee) has been ruled out for Thursday's game at Minnesota.
    Updated: Nov 11, 2026 at 5:10 PM EST
  • FTarik BiberovicHeelOut
    Biberovic (heel) is out for Thursday's game against Minnesota.
    Updated: Nov 11, 2026 at 5:12 PM EST
Cleveland Cavaliers
  • CEvan MobleyToeOut
    Mobley (toe) has been ruled out for Saturday's meeting with Dallas.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:33 PM EST
  • FNae'Qwan TomlinBackOut
    Tomlin is set to miss several weeks with a lower back stress reaction, Chris Fedor of The Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.
    Updated: Oct 20, 2026 at 11:11 AM EDT
  • GSam MerrillElbowOut
    Merrill (elbow) is listed as out for Wednesday's game against the Knicks.
    Updated: Nov 10, 2026 at 5:12 PM EST

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