NBA matchup
11/14/20268:00 PMKaseya CenterMiami, FL

Pistons8 – 3vsHeat6 – 6

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendDetroit Pistons games: +4.08 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Detroit Pistons went 8–3 (72.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.08 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendMiami Heat games: +1.41 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Miami Heat went 7–5 (58.3%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.41 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Detroit PistonsB-A-B
Miami HeatA-C-B-

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Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Kaseya Center in Miami, with abstracted figures and unbranded surfaces.Pistons vs. Heat Preview: Can Detroit Contain Miami’s Frontcourt?Cade Cunningham follows a 52-point performance into Miami, where Bam Adebayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo present a different test for Detroit.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Kaseya Center in Miami, with abstracted figures and unbranded surfaces.Heat Parlay Picks vs. Pistons: Side & Support Player PropsGiannis Antetokounmpo’s points and rebounds and Davion Mitchell’s assists fit a Miami win built through its frontcourt.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Kaseya Center in Miami, with abstracted figures and unbranded surfaces.Pistons Parlay Picks vs. Heat: Side & Support Player PropsAusar Thompson’s assists and Bam Adebayo’s points plus assists give two ways to look at a Detroit win in Miami.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
DET-173-4.5 (-104)
MIA+146+4.5 (-116)
Total 229.5Over -107Under -113
Recent form

Last 3 games

Detroit Pistons

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/12/26@ WSHW 144–140L -10.5O 223.5
11/9/26vs WSHW 122–111W -9.5O 218.5
11/8/26vs LALL 116–121L -8.5O 216.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Miami Heat

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/13/26vs CLEW 133–121W -2.5O 234.5
11/10/26@ UTAHW 115–109L -8.5U 227.5
11/8/26@ SACW 114–108L -11.5U 235.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pistons and Heat
Statistic
43.1 (42.3)Field Goals Made43.6 (43.2)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Detroit Pistons
Expected Starters
  • PGCade Cunningham
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+10648.5%Under-13958.2%
  • SGDaniss Jenkins
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-14959.8%Under+11346.9%
  • SFDuncan Robinson
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals3.5Over-10851.9%Under-12255.0%
  • PFAusar Thompson
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total Assists4.5Over-10250.5%Under-12956.3%
  • CJohn Collins
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Points11.5Over-10551.2%Under-12154.8%
Miami Heat
Expected Starters
  • PGDavion Mitchell
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12943.7%
  • SGKlay ThompsonDay-To-Day
    Thompson (ankle) is listed as probable for Saturday's game against the Pistons.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:10 PM EST
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals3.5Over+10548.8%Under-13858.0%
  • SFPelle LarssonDay-To-Day
    Larsson (illness) is listed as doubtful for Saturday's game against Detroit.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:12 PM EST
  • PFGiannis AntetokounmpoDay-To-Day
    Antetokounmpo (wrist) is listed as probable for Saturday's game against Detroit.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:07 PM EST
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Assists5.5Over-11152.6%Under-11854.1%
  • CBam Adebayo
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-21368.1%Under+16038.5%
Relevant Bench
  • FAndrew Wiggins
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17063.0%

Player availability

Injury report

Detroit Pistons
  • GIsaiah JoeHipOut
    Joe (hip) is out for Monday against the Wizards.
    Updated: Nov 9, 2026 at 1:54 PM EST
  • CJalen DurenHamstringOut
    Duren (hamstring) has begun on-court activity and will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Hunter Patterson of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 11:05 AM EST
  • CUgonna OnyensoFootDay-To-Day
    Onyenso agreed to a two-way contract with the Pistons on Thursday.
    Updated: Nov 11, 2026 at 10:16 AM EST
Miami Heat
  • FGiannis AntetokounmpoWristDay-To-Day
    Antetokounmpo (wrist) is listed as probable for Saturday's game against Detroit.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:07 PM EST
  • GKlay ThompsonAnkleDay-To-Day
    Thompson (ankle) is listed as probable for Saturday's game against the Pistons.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:10 PM EST
  • GPelle LarssonIllnessDay-To-Day
    Larsson (illness) is listed as doubtful for Saturday's game against Detroit.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:12 PM EST

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