NBA matchup
11/14/20267:00 PMSmoothie King CenterNew Orleans, LA

Nuggets6 – 4vsPelicans4 – 9

Sharp side
Unlock pick
Model value
Model trendDenver Nuggets games: +3.60 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring Denver Nuggets are on a 4-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 3.60 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Unlock pick
Model value
Model trendNew Orleans Pelicans games: +0.29 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring New Orleans Pelicans went 7–6 (53.8%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.29 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Denver NuggetsBC+B
New Orleans PelicansB-DC

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

See Premium plans


More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.Nuggets vs. Pelicans Preview: Can New Orleans Stop the Perimeter Bleeding?Denver's late-game passing meets a Pelicans defense coming off another rout. Perimeter coverage shapes the spread, while New Orleans' scoring response complicates the total.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.Pelicans Parlay Picks vs. Nuggets: Side & Support Player PropsHerbert Jones’s rebounds and assists and Christian Braun’s three-point under offer two ways to look at a New Orleans win.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.Nuggets Parlay Picks vs. Pelicans: Side & Support Player PropsCameron Johnson’s threes lead three ways to look at a Denver win, alongside DeMar DeRozan’s assists and Zion Williamson’s rebounding under.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
DEN-670-12.5 (-108)
NO+483+12.5 (-112)
Total 235.5Over -108Under -112
Recent form

Last 3 games

Denver Nuggets

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/11/26@ MEMW 123–118W -3.5O 230.5
11/9/26@ HOUL 100–110L +4.5U 224.5
11/7/26vs INDW 114–102W -8.5U 229.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New Orleans Pelicans

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/13/26vs MEML 111–142L +3.5O 235.5
11/11/26vs BKNL 111–145L -2.5O 228.5
11/9/26@ GSL 87–138L +10.5U 228.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Nuggets and Pelicans
Statistic
44.3 (42.6)Field Goals Made43.0 (42.4)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Denver Nuggets
Expected Starters
  • PGJamal Murray
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-16261.8%Under+12344.8%
  • SGChristian Braun
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
  • SFCameron Johnson
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17163.1%Under+12943.7%
  • PFAaron Gordon
    Player props1 of 8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14141.5%Under-18765.2%
  • CNikola Jokic
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12045.5%Under-15861.2%
Relevant Bench
  • FDeMar DeRozan
    Player props1 of 6 markets
    Total Assists2.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
New Orleans Pelicans
Expected Starters
  • PGJeremiah Fears
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
  • SGDejounte MurrayOut
    Murray (ankle) is out for Friday's game against Memphis.
    Updated: Nov 13, 2026 at 3:19 PM EST
  • SFTrey Murphy IIIOut
    Murphy (knees) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Nuggets.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 12:53 PM EST
  • PFZion Williamson
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Assists3.5Over+11646.3%Under-15360.5%
  • CYves MissiOut
    Missi (knee) has been upgraded to probable for Saturday's game versus the Nuggets.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 1:01 PM EST
    Player props1 of 3 markets
    Total Points5.5Over-10451.0%Under-12355.2%
Relevant Bench
  • FHerbert Jones
    Player props1 of 9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+15339.5%Under-20367.0%
  • FSaddiq Bey
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11346.9%Under-14959.8%

Player availability

Injury report

Denver Nuggets
  • GJulian StrawtherKneeOut
    Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver Gazette reports.
    Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 8:52 PM EDT
New Orleans Pelicans
  • GBryce McGowensElbowOut
    McGowens (elbow) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the Nuggets.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 12:55 PM EST
  • GDejounte MurrayAnkleOut
    Murray (ankle) is out for Friday's game against Memphis.
    Updated: Nov 13, 2026 at 3:19 PM EST
  • FTrendon WatfordAnkleOut
    Watford (ankle) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against Denver.
    Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 12:58 PM EST

Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

See Premium plans


Up next

More NBA matchups

Welcome back