NFL matchup
11/15/20269:30 AMFC Bayern Munich StadiumMunich, Germany

Patriots5 – 4vsLions6 – 2

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendNew England Patriots games: +2.69 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring New England Patriots went 4–1 (80.0%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 2.69 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
New England PatriotsB+B+B+
Detroit LionsA+DB

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Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
NE+124+3.0 (-118)
DET-148-3.0 (-102)
Total 51.5Over +100Under -120
Recent form

Last 3 games

New England Patriots

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/8/26vs GBL 27–45L -3.5O 44.5
11/1/26@ MIAW 24–19L -7O 41.5
10/22/26@ CHIL 24–30L +3O 50.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Detroit Lions

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/8/26@ MIAW 19–9W -6.5U 50.5
11/1/26vs MINW 19–15W -3.5U 45.5
10/25/26vs GBW 20–17L -3.5U 55.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Patriots and Lions
Statistic
366.3 (370.7)Total Yards385.8 (386.8)

Projected depth chart

Expected offensive personnel

New England Patriots
  • QBDrake Maye
    Player props1 of 7 markets
    Total Carries4.5
  • RBRhamondre StevensonQuestionable
    Stevenson headed to the locker room during Sunday's game against the Packers to be evaluated for an unspecified issue, Mike Reiss of ESPN.com reports.
    Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 7:07 PM EST
  • RBCorey Kiner
  • WRDeMario Douglas
  • WRMack Hollins
  • WREfton Chism III
  • TEHunter Henry
Detroit Lions
  • QBJared Goff
    Player props1 of 4 markets
    Total Pass Completions24.5
  • RBJahmyr Gibbs
    Player props1 of 5 markets
    Total Carries20.5
  • RBSione Vaki
  • WRAmon-Ra St. Brown
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards77.5
  • WRJameson Williams
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards56.5
  • WRIsaac TeSlaa
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards20.5
  • TESam LaPorta
    Player props1 of 2 markets
    Total Receiving Yards43.5

Player availability

Injury report

New England Patriots
  • WRA.J. BrownKneeOut
  • QBBehren MortonCoach's DecisionOut
    Morton (coach's decision) is inactive but will serve as the Patriots' emergency third quarterback against the Packers on Sunday.
    Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 3:19 PM EST
  • CBCharles WoodsHamstringOut
    Woods (hamstring) is listed as questionable ahead of Sunday's game against the Packers.
    Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 2:24 PM EST
Detroit Lions
  • DEAhmed HassaneinCoach's DecisionOut
  • CCade MaysAnkleOut
  • CBD.J. ReedHipOut

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