NFL matchup
11/15/20261:00 PMMercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta, GA

Chiefs6 – 2vsFalcons3 – 6

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendAtlanta Falcons games: +2.66 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring Atlanta Falcons are on a 3-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 2.66 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Kansas City ChiefsABA-
Atlanta FalconsBC+B

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Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
KC-175-3.5 (-105)
ATL+145+3.5 (-115)
Total 45.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 3 games

Kansas City Chiefs

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/8/26vs NYJW 35–12W -8.5U 47.5
11/1/26@ DENL 24–28L +1.5O 41.5
10/25/26@ SEAL 3–20L +3U 43.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Atlanta Falcons

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/8/26vs CINL 17–34L +3U 52.5
11/1/26@ TBL 0–16L +2.5U 43.5
10/25/26vs SFW 29–20W +2.5U 49.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Chiefs and Falcons
Statistic
375.1 (324.6)Total Yards325.8 (326.6)

Projected depth chart

Expected offensive personnel

Kansas City Chiefs
  • QBPatrick MahomesQuestionable
    Mahomes was diagnosed with an "elbow strain/sprain" on his throwing arm following an MRI on Sunday, and he'll "continue to be monitored" leading up to the Chiefs' Week 10 game in Atlanta, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
    Updated: Nov 9, 2026 at 10:08 AM EST
  • RBKenneth Walker III
  • RBEmmett Johnson
  • WRRashee Rice
  • WRXavier WorthyQuestionable
    Worthy (hamstring) won't return to Sunday's game against the Jets.
    Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 4:04 PM EST
  • WRCyrus Allen
  • TETravis Kelce
Atlanta Falcons
  • QBMichael Penix Jr.
  • RBBijan Robinson
  • RBKhalil Herbert
  • WRDrake London
  • WRJahan Dotson
  • WROlamide Zaccheaus
  • TEKyle Pitts Sr.

Player availability

Injury report

Kansas City Chiefs
  • FBBen VanSumerenCoach's DecisionOut
  • OTDiego PoundsCoach's DecisionOut
  • QBGarrett NussmeierCoach's DecisionOut
    Nussmeier is inactive for Sunday's game against the Jets but will serve as the Chiefs' emergency third quarterback.
    Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 12:21 PM EST
Atlanta Falcons
  • QBAndy DaltonCoach's DecisionOut
    Dalton is inactive for Sunday's game against the Bengals but was designated as his team's emergency third quarterback.
    Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 8:31 AM EST
  • CBBilly Bowman Jr.Coach's DecisionOut
    Bowman is inactive for Sunday's game against the Bengals.
    Updated: Nov 8, 2026 at 8:33 AM EST
  • DEDrake JacksonCoach's DecisionOut

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