NBA matchup

11/15/20266:00 PMTD GardenBoston, MA

Mavericks7 – 6vsCeltics10 – 2

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendDallas Mavericks games: +0.76 units on model side bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model side bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Dallas Mavericks went 2–1 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.76 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendBoston Celtics games: +7.31 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Boston Celtics are on a 8-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 7.31 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Dallas Mavericks	B-	C-	C
Boston Celtics	D	A-	B-

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More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of TD Garden in Boston

Mavericks vs. Celtics Preview: Can Dallas Make Boston Work for Its Offense?Kyrie Irving's scoring couldn't rescue Dallas in Cleveland. Now the Mavericks face a rested Boston team whose defense has fueled five straight wins.Read analysis

Celtics Parlay Picks vs. Mavericks: Side & Support Player PropsA Boston win through Sam Hauser’s three-point shooting, Naji Marshall’s bench passing and Cooper Flagg’s scoring.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

DAL+558+13.5 (-104)

BOS-800-13.5 (-116)

Total 219.5Over -107Under -113

Recent form

Last 3 games

Dallas Mavericks

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/14/26	@ CLE	L 117–127	L -8.5	O 228.5
11/12/26	@ MIN	L 94–133	L +5.5	O 226.5
11/9/26	vs IND	W 125–122	L -4.5	O 227.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boston Celtics

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/11/26	@ TOR	W 98–93	W -4.5	U 215.5
11/10/26	@ PHI	W 123–101	W -1.5	O 216.5
11/8/26	@ MIL	W 117–97	W -13.5	U 222.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mavericks and Celtics
	Statistic
39.6 (42.2)	Field Goals Made	39.4 (41.5)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Dallas Mavericks

Expected Starters

PGKyrie Irving
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-16161.7%Under+12245.0%
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SGCaleb Martin
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
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SFCooper Flagg
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
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PFP.J. Washington
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17964.2%Under+13542.6%
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CDaniel GaffordOut
Gafford (face) won't return to Saturday's game against the Cavaliers, Grant Afseth of DallasHoopsJournal.com reports.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 9:31 PM EST

Relevant Bench

FMorez Johnson Jr.
Player props1 of 3 markets
Total Points7.5Over-11653.7%Under-11052.4%
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FNaji Marshall
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-18364.7%Under+13842.0%
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FZaccharie Risacher
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+16837.3%Under-22469.1%
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Boston Celtics

Expected Starters

PGDerrick White
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13342.9%Under-17663.8%
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SGBaylor Scheierman
SFJayson Tatum
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-14459.0%Under+10947.8%
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PFPaul George
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-16261.8%Under+12344.8%
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CNeemias Queta
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
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Relevant Bench

GPayton Pritchard
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11945.7%Under-15761.1%
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FSam Hauser
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13657.6%Under+10349.3%
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Player availability

Injury report

Dallas Mavericks

FDaniel GaffordFaceOut
Gafford (face) won't return to Saturday's game against the Cavaliers, Grant Afseth of DallasHoopsJournal.com reports.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 9:31 PM EST
CDereck Lively IIFootOut
Lively (foot) is listed as out for Thursday's game in Minnesota.
Updated: Nov 11, 2026 at 5:13 PM EST
GMax ChristieAnkleOut
Christie (ankle) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against Cleveland.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 6:02 PM EST