NBA matchup

11/15/20267:00 PMCapital One ArenaWashington, DC

Rockets10 – 3vsWizards4 – 9

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendHouston Rockets games: +4.11 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Houston Rockets went 9–4 (69.2%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.11 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendHouston Rockets games: +0.42 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Houston Rockets went 7–6 (53.8%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.42 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Houston Rockets	B	A	B+
Washington Wizards	A	D	B-

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More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Capital One Arena in Washington

Rockets vs. Wizards Preview: Can Washington Answer Sengun Inside?Alperen Sengun arrives after a 43-point performance, while Washington's frontcourt faces a key availability question. Rebounding and Houston's depleted backcourt shape the spread and total.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

HOU-359-8.5 (-112)

WSH+286+8.5 (-108)

Total 222.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Last 3 games

Houston Rockets

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/13/26	vs UTAH	W 125–118	L -15.5	O 221.5
11/11/26	vs GS	W 115–108	W -6.5	O 219.5
11/9/26	vs DEN	W 110–100	W -4.5	U 224.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Washington Wizards

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/12/26	vs DET	L 140–144	W +10.5	O 223.5
11/11/26	@ IND	L 101–114	L +3.5	U 227.5
11/9/26	@ DET	L 111–122	L +9.5	O 218.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rockets and Wizards
	Statistic
44.4 (42.0)	Field Goals Made	45.1 (41.5)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Houston Rockets

Expected Starters

PGFred VanVleetOut
VanVleet (right knee injury management) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Wizards.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 4:52 PM EST
SGAmen Thompson
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists4.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
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SFKevin Durant
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
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PFJabari Smith Jr.
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13742.2%Under-18264.5%
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CAlperen Sengun
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
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Relevant Bench

GReed Sheppard
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
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FTari Eason
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11646.3%Under-15360.5%
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Washington Wizards

Expected Starters

PGTrae Young
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11746.1%Under-15460.6%
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SGKyshawn George
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-18765.2%Under+14141.5%
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SFAJ Dybantsa
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+14940.2%Under-19866.4%
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PFAnthony Davis
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
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CAlex SarrDay-To-Day
Sarr (illness) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against Houston.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 4:24 PM EST
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-22168.8%Under+16537.7%
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Relevant Bench

GTre JohnsonDay-To-Day
Johnson is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Rockets due to lower-back soreness.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 4:09 PM EST
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
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Player availability

Injury report

Houston Rockets

CClint CapelaAnkleOut
Capela (ankle) has been ruled out for Sunday's game at Washington.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 4:54 PM EST
GFred VanVleetKneeOut
VanVleet (right knee injury management) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Wizards.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 4:52 PM EST
CSteven AdamsCalfOut
Adams (calf) has been upgraded to probable for Sunday's game against the Wizards.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 4:52 PM EST

Washington Wizards

GJamir WatkinsKneeOut
The Wizards announced Thursday that Watkins has undergone surgery for a torn ACL.
Updated: Jul 30, 2026 at 4:11 PM EDT
FJustin ChampagnieFootOut
Champagnie (foot) is expected to miss several months, per Josh Robbins of The Athletic.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 2:38 PM EDT
GReece BeekmanShoulderOut
The Wizards announced Monday that Beekman sustained a right acromioclavicular joint injury and will be re-evaluated in approximately three weeks.
Updated: Nov 2, 2026 at 1:22 PM EST