NBA matchup

11/15/20269:00 PMGolden 1 CenterSacramento, CA

Thunder8 – 5vsKings1 – 11

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendOklahoma City Thunder games: +2.68 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring Oklahoma City Thunder are on a 3-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 2.68 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendSacramento Kings games: +1.36 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Sacramento Kings went 7–5 (58.3%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.36 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Oklahoma City Thunder	C+	A	B
Sacramento Kings	C+	D	C

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More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, with abstracted signage and anonymous figures.

Thunder vs. Kings Preview: Can Oklahoma City Turn a Lead Into Separation?Oklahoma City let a late lead slip despite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 40 points. Sacramento’s struggling defense offers an opening, but can the Thunder finish?Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

OKC-468-10.5 (-110)

SAC+361+10.5 (-110)

Total 222.5Over -107Under -113

Recent form

Last 3 games

Oklahoma City Thunder

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/13/26	@ LAC	L 112–113	L -6.5	O 221.5
11/11/26	@ POR	L 108–118	L +2.5	O 224.5
11/10/26	@ POR	L 103–123	L -1.5	U 226.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Sacramento Kings

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
11/13/26	vs POR	L 107–120	L +10.5	U 229.5
11/10/26	vs ORL	L 100–107	L +5.5	U 222.5
11/8/26	vs MIA	L 108–114	W +11.5	U 235.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Thunder and Kings
	Statistic
42.6 (42.5)	Field Goals Made	40.9 (41.2)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder

Expected Starters

PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+14141.5%Under-18765.2%
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SGJared McCain
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+10848.1%Under-14258.7%
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SFAjay MitchellDay-To-Day
Mitchell (ankle) is questionable to suit up for Sunday's game against the Kings.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 8:10 PM EST
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+15838.8%Under-21067.7%
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PFAday Mara
Player props1 of 6 markets
Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-10451.0%Under-12655.8%
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CIsaiah Hartenstein
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists3.5Over-16562.3%Under+12544.4%
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Relevant Bench

FKenrich Williams
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12455.4%
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Sacramento Kings

Expected Starters

PGDarius Acuff Jr.
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-16061.5%Under+12245.0%
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SGZach LaVine
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-13757.8%Under+10449.0%
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SFDe'Andre Hunter
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13442.7%Under-17864.0%
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PFPrecious AchiuwaDay-To-Day
Achiuwa (ankle) is questionable for Sunday's game against the Thunder.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 7:57 PM EST
CDomantas Sabonis
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists5.5Over+11346.9%Under-14959.8%
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Relevant Bench

FKeegan MurrayDay-To-Day
Murray (illness) is questionable for Sunday's game against the Thunder.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
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Player availability

Injury report

Oklahoma City Thunder

GCason WallaceShoulderOut
Wallace underwent surgery Friday to repair a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:16 PM EDT
CChet HolmgrenKneeOut
Holmgren underwent a biological treatment Friday to address a small patellar tendon tear and will miss at least 8-10 weeks, Nick Crain of Slam reports.
Updated: Oct 30, 2026 at 9:02 PM EDT
GJalen WilliamsLegOut
Williams (leg) underwent successful surgery Wednesday to "address a fractured left fibula and reconstruction of ankle ligaments following a fracture and dislocation." He will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season, Tim MacMahon of ESPN.com reports.
Updated: Oct 28, 2026 at 7:41 PM EDT

Sacramento Kings

GBen SimmonsAchillesOut
Simmons underwent successful surgery Tuesday to repair a torn right Achilles tendon, James Ham of ESPN 1320 Sacramento reports.
Updated: Oct 21, 2026 at 12:22 AM EDT
CMaxime RaynaudKneeOut
Raynaud (knee) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Thunder.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST
FKeegan MurrayIllnessDay-To-Day
Murray (illness) is questionable for Sunday's game against the Thunder.
Updated: Nov 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST