De’Anthony Melton played 17 minutes against Miami and grabbed six rebounds. In the same minutes against Orlando, he grabbed one. Golden State won both games, which is why the three rebounds he needs against New Orleans are worth looking at on their own.
If you’re backing Golden State, compare Melton’s rebounding in Warriors wins and Zion Williamson’s in Pelicans losses with what each has done across all his games this season.
Two Warriors parlay picks to compare
| Player & prop | Odds | With this result | All games |
|---|---|---|---|
| De’Anthony Melton Over 2.5 rebounds 2026–27 regular season |
−162 | 85.7% 6 of 7 GS wins |
70.0% 7 of 10 appearances |
| Zion Williamson Under 5.5 rebounds 2026–27 regular season |
−139 | 83.3% 5 of 6 NO losses |
60.0% 6 of 10 appearances |
De’Anthony Melton: Over 2.5 rebounds
Melton got to three in six of seven Warriors wins this season. He had six or more in four of those wins, but the Orlando game is the reminder that a short shift can end very differently. Across both regular seasons, he reached three in only 20 of 29 Golden State wins. The recent case depends on his current bench minutes and how many chances he gets in them.
Zion Williamson: Under 5.5 rebounds
Williamson stayed below six in five of six New Orleans losses this season. Minnesota was the exception, when he pulled down eight in 36 minutes. Over both seasons, the under hit in only 24 of 46 losses. Yves Missi is listed out, which changes the Pelicans’ frontcourt and gives another reason to be cautious with that short run.
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What to weigh with a Golden State win
If you see Melton getting enough time off the bench to grab three boards, that’s the question behind his over. Williamson’s under pays a little more at the listed prices. With Missi out, think about who’ll be on the floor to share those rebounds before leaning on six Pelicans losses. Follow the live Pelicans at Warriors matchup and our NBA coverage.
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