NFL matchup

09/10/20268:35 PMMelbourne Cricket GroundMelbourne, Australia

49ers6 – 1vsRams3 – 4

Sharp side

✈️ 49ers +3.5

Model value

Model trendLos Angeles Rams games: +4.44 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Los Angeles Rams went 6–1 (85.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 4.44 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

↑ Over 47.5

Model value

Model trendSan Francisco 49ers games: +1.77 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring San Francisco 49ers went 3–1 (75.0%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 1.77 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
San Francisco 49ers	22.7	40.6%
Los Angeles Rams	25.3	59.4%

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
San Francisco 49ers	A-	B-	B
Los Angeles Rams	A-	A-	A-

More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Oil painting of Melbourne Cricket Ground on game day

49ers vs. Rams Preview: Breaking Down the Spread in MelbourneThe Rams are 3.5-point favorites over the 49ers in Melbourne, where the neutral setting and defensive availability questions complicate the Week 1 spread.Read analysis

Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

SF+180+3.5 (-105)

LAR-218-3.5 (-115)

Total 47.5Over -115Under -105

BetMGM

TeamMoneylineSpread

SF+165+3.5 (-102)

LAR-200-3.5 (-108)

Total 48.0Over -108Under -110

BetRivers

TeamMoneylineSpread

SF+165+3.5 (-108)

LAR-205-3.5 (-113)

Total 47.5Over -113Under -108

Caesars

TeamMoneylineSpread

SF+169+3.5 (-107)

LAR-205-3.5 (-111)

Total 47.5Over -115Under -104

Circa Sports

TeamMoneylineSpread

SF+170+3.5 (-110)

LAR-195-3.5 (-110)

Total 48.0Over -110Under -110

FanDuel

TeamMoneylineSpread

SF+166+3.5 (-108)

LAR-198-3.5 (-112)

Total 47.5Over -115Under -105

Hard Rock Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

SF+175+4.0 (-110)

LAR-210-4.0 (-110)

Total 47.5Over -110Under -110

theScore Bet

TeamMoneylineSpread

SF+170+4.0 (-110)

LAR-200-4.0 (-110)

Total 47.5Over -115Under -105

Recent form

Last 10 games

San Francisco 49ers

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/17/26	@ SEA	L 6–41	L +7	O 44.5
1/11/26	@ PHI	W 23–19	W +5.5	U 44.5
1/3/26	vs SEA	L 3–13	L +2.5	U 48.5
12/28/25	vs CHI	W 42–38	L -4.5	O 51.5
12/22/25	@ IND	W 48–27	W -4.5	O 46.5
12/14/25	vs TEN	W 37–24	W -12.5	O 44.5
11/30/25	@ CLE	W 26–8	W -5.5	U 35.5
11/24/25	vs CAR	W 20–9	W -7	U 48.5
11/16/25	@ ARI	W 41–22	W -3.5	O 48.5
11/9/25	vs LAR	L 26–42	L +6.5	O 49.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Los Angeles Rams

Overall6–4–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
1/25/26	@ SEA	L 27–31	L +2.5	O 45.5
1/18/26	@ CHI	W 20–17	L -3.5	U 49.5
1/10/26	@ CAR	W 34–31	L -10	O 44.5
1/4/26	vs ARI	W 37–20	W -14.5	O 49.5
12/29/25	@ ATL	L 24–27	L -7.5	O 48.5
12/18/25	@ SEA	L 37–38	W +1.5	O 42.5
12/14/25	vs DET	W 41–34	W -5.5	O 54.5
12/7/25	@ ARI	W 45–17	W -9.5	O 49.5
11/30/25	@ CAR	L 28–31	L -10	O 44.5
11/23/25	vs TB	W 34–7	W -7.5	U 50.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for 49ers and Rams
	Statistic
333.0 (343.7)	Total Yards	365.9 (402.3)
232.9 (239.2)	Passing Yards	254.5 (274.8)
22.5 (22.7)	Pass Completions	21.7 (22.8)
33.5 (33.4)	Pass Attempts	35.7 (36.2)
100.0 (104.5)	Rushing Yards	111.5 (127.4)
26.8 (27.6)	Rushing Attempts	24.9 (27.5)
20.7 (21.7)	First Downs	20.9 (23.5)