NFL matchup
09/13/20261:00 PMReliant StadiumHouston, TX

Bills1 – 0vsTexans0 – 1

Sharp side
🏠 Texans +1.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 44.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Buffalo Bills22.350.7%
Houston Texans22.149.3%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Buffalo BillsABA-
Houston TexansCA+A-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF-112-1.5 (-105)
HOU-108+1.5 (-115)
Total 44.5Over -110Under -110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF-118-1.0 (-108)
HOU-102+1.0 (-110)
Total 44.5Over -110Under -108
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF-121-1.5 (-108)
HOU+100+1.5 (-113)
Total 44.5Over -113Under -108
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF-118-1.0 (-109)
HOU+100+1.0 (-110)
Total 44.5Over -109Under -110
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF-115-1.0 (-110)
HOU-105+1.0 (-110)
Total 44.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF-116-1.5 (-104)
HOU-102+1.5 (-118)
Total 44.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF-120-2.0 (-105)
HOU+100+2.0 (-115)
Total 44.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
BUF-125-1.5 (-105)
HOU+105+1.5 (-115)
Total 44.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Buffalo Bills

Overall7–3–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/17/26@ DENL 30–33L +1.5O 45.5
1/11/26@ JAXW 27–24W +1.5U 51.5
1/4/26vs NYJW 35–8W -13.5O 39.5
12/28/25vs PHIL 12–13L -3.5U 45.5
12/21/25@ CLEW 23–20L -10.5O 41.5
12/14/25@ NEW 35–31W -2.5O 49.5
12/7/25vs CINW 39–34L -6O 54.5
11/30/25@ PITW 26–7W -3U 44.5
11/20/25@ HOUL 19–23L -4.5U 44.5
11/16/25vs TBW 44–32W -6.5O 44.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Houston Texans

Overall9–1–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–5–0O–U–P · 9/10 graded
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/18/26@ NEL 16–28L +3O 40.5
1/12/26@ PITW 30–6W -3U 38.5
1/4/26vs INDW 38–30L -9.5O 37.5
12/27/25@ LACW 20–16W +1.5U 40.5
12/21/25vs LVW 23–21L -14.5O 39.5
12/14/25vs ARIW 40–20W -10.5O 42.5
12/7/25@ KCW 20–10W +4.5U 41.5
11/30/25@ INDW 20–16W +3
11/20/25vs BUFW 23–19W +4.5U 44.5
11/16/25@ TENW 16–13L -5.5U 37.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Bills and Texans
Statistic
20.8 (20.2)Pass Completions21.3 (21.4)
30.1 (29.1)Pass Attempts35.7 (35.2)
206.0 (212.3)Passing Yards216.9 (221.8)
31.0 (32.1)Rushing Attempts27.1 (27.8)
147.5 (159.3)Rushing Yards101.2 (108.3)
353.6 (371.6)Total Yards318.1 (330.2)
21.0 (21.8)First Downs18.1 (19.0)



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