NFL matchup
09/13/20261:00 PMPaycor StadiumCincinnati, OH

Buccaneers0 – 1vsBengals1 – 0

Sharp side
✈️ Buccaneers +3.5
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 50.5
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Tampa Bay Buccaneers24.441.1%
Cincinnati Bengals26.958.9%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Tampa Bay BuccaneersC+CC
Cincinnati BengalsA-D+B-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
TB+170+3.5 (-102)
CIN-205-3.5 (-118)
Total 50.5Over -108Under -112
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
TB+160+3.5 (-105)
CIN-190-3.5 (-105)
Total 50.5Over -108Under -110
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
TB+170+4.0 (-112)
CIN-210-4.0 (-109)
Total 50.5Over -108Under -113
Caesars Sportsbook
TeamMoneylineSpread
TB+170+3.5 (-106)
CIN-205-3.5 (-111)
Total 50.5Over -109Under -110
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
TB+165+3.5 (-110)
CIN-190-3.5 (-110)
Total 50.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
TB+160+3.5 (-108)
CIN-190-3.5 (-112)
Total 50.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
TB+175+4.0 (-110)
CIN-210-4.0 (-110)
Total 50.5Over -110Under -110
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
TB+160+3.5 (-110)
CIN-190-3.5 (-110)
Total 50.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS1–9–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/3/26vs CARW 16–14L -3U 42.5
12/28/25@ MIAL 17–20L -5.5U 44.5
12/21/25@ CARL 20–23L -3U 44.5
12/11/25vs ATLL 28–29L -6O 43.5
12/7/25vs NOL 20–24L -7.5O 41.5
11/30/25vs ARIW 20–17L -4.5U 45.5
11/23/25@ LARL 7–34L +7.5U 50.5
11/16/25@ BUFL 32–44L +6.5O 44.5
11/9/25vs NEL 23–28L -2.5O 48.5
10/26/25@ NOW 23–3W -3.5U 45.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cincinnati Bengals

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
1/4/26vs CLEL 18–20L -8.5U 47.5
12/28/25vs ARIW 37–14W -7U 53.5
12/21/25@ MIAW 45–21W -3.5O 48.5
12/14/25vs BALL 0–24L +2.5U 51.5
12/7/25@ BUFL 34–39W +6O 54.5
11/27/25@ BALW 32–14W +7U 52.5
11/23/25vs NEL 20–26W +7.5U 50.5
11/16/25@ PITL 12–34L +5.5U 47.5
11/2/25vs CHIL 42–47L +2.5O 51.5
10/26/25vs NYJL 38–39L -5.5O 43.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Buccaneers and Bengals
Statistic
20.8 (20.9)Pass Completions25.2 (24.9)
32.2 (32.9)Pass Attempts38.9 (38.6)
219.3 (208.8)Passing Yards254.4 (244.4)
28.4 (28.1)Rushing Attempts22.5 (22.4)
116.1 (115.4)Rushing Yards98.0 (96.6)
335.5 (324.2)Total Yards352.3 (340.9)
20.3 (19.8)First Downs22.0 (21.3)



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