NBA matchup
10/25/20269:00 PMGolden 1 CenterSacramento, CA

Grizzlies5 – 0vsKings0 – 5

Sharp side
🏠 Kings +3.5
Model value
Sharp total
↓ Under 234.5
Model value
Model trendSacramento Kings games: +0.72 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Sacramento Kings went 3–2 (60.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.72 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Memphis Grizzlies114.946.1%
Sacramento Kings116.253.9%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Memphis GrizzliesCDC-
Sacramento KingsCD+C-
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, with abstracted signage and anonymous figures.Memphis’ hot start faces a Sabonis test in SacramentoTy Jerome has Memphis rolling, but Zach Edey’s absence complicates the matchup with Domantas Sabonis. We examine the Grizzlies’ perimeter edge, the spread and the 236.5 total.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM-175-3.5 (-112)
SAC+145+3.5 (-108)
Total 234.5Over -112Under -108
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM-185-3.5 (-115)
SAC+150+3.5 (-105)
Total 235.5Over -105Under -115
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM-159-3.5 (-107)
SAC+130+3.5 (-114)
Total 236.5Over -106Under -115
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM-175-4.0 (-105)
SAC+148+4.0 (-115)
Total 235.5Over -105Under -115
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM-170-4.0 (-110)
SAC+150+4.0 (-110)
Total 234.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM-168-3.5 (-115)
SAC+142+3.5 (-104)
Total 235.5Over -104Under -106
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM-170-3.5 (-115)
SAC+140+3.5 (-105)
Total 234.5Over -110Under -110
Kalshi
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM-170—
SAC+163—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
MEM-170-3.5 (-115)
SAC+145+3.5 (-105)
Total 234.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Memphis Grizzlies

Overall2–8–0W–L–TATS4–6–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/23/26@ GSW 111–108W +4.5U 236.5
10/21/26vs UTAHW 123–103W -1.5U 240.5
4/12/26@ HOUL 101–132L +14.5O 230.5
4/10/26@ UTAHL 101–147L +4.5O 247.5
4/8/26@ DENL 119–136W +23.5O 247.5
4/6/26vs CLEL 126–142L +13.5O 231.5
4/5/26@ MILL 115–131L +7.5O 230.5
4/3/26vs TORL 96–128L +14.5U 233.5
4/1/26vs NYL 119–130W +13.5O 224.5
3/30/26vs PHXL 105–131L +12.5O 228.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Sacramento Kings

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS7–3–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/23/26vs PORL 120–128W +9.5O 231.5
10/21/26@ LACL 96–121L +5.5U 226.5
4/12/26@ PORL 110–122W +18.5O 226.5
4/10/26vs GSW 124–118W +10.5O 228.5
4/7/26@ GSL 105–110W +14.5U 233.5
4/5/26vs LACL 109–138L +13.5O 228.5
4/3/26vs NOW 117–113W +6.5U 232.5
4/1/26@ TORW 123–115W +12.5O 227.5
3/29/26@ BKNL 99–116L +1.5U 216.5
3/28/26@ ATLL 113–123W +13.5O 234.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Grizzlies and Kings
Statistic
41.5 (41.4)Field Goals Made43.1 (41.5)
14.0 (14.0)Three-Pointers Made10.7 (10.2)
17.8 (17.8)Free Throws Made19.3 (17.8)
43.4 (42.4)Rebounds43.8 (42.4)
27.9 (27.9)Assists26.7 (25.5)
8.8 (8.8)Steals8.0 (8.0)
4.9 (4.8)Blocks4.5 (4.4)
14.6 (14.6)Turnovers13.3 (13.8)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies
Expected Starters
  • PGTy Jerome
    Player props6 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-14759.5%Under+11147.4%
    Total Assists6.5Over+10249.5%Under-13457.3%
    Total Assists and Rebounds9.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points23.5Over-11252.8%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists33.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
  • SGCedric Coward
    Player props7 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Assists2.5Over-17563.6%Under+13243.1%
    Total Assists and Rebounds8.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points13.5Over-10250.5%Under-12555.6%
    Total Points and Assists16.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over-10250.5%Under-12956.3%
  • SFJaylen Wells
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13858.0%Under+10548.8%
    Total Assists1.5Over+11247.2%Under-14859.7%
    Total Assists and Rebounds4.5Over+10149.8%Under-13256.9%
    Total Points10.5Over-12956.3%Under+10149.8%
    Total Points and Assists12.5Over-11353.1%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds14.5Over-10250.5%Under-13056.5%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists15.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-15861.2%Under+12045.5%
  • PFCameron Boozer
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Assists4.5Over+10349.3%Under-13657.6%
    Total Assists and Rebounds13.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points17.5Over-10350.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points and Assists21.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Points and Rebounds26.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists31.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Rebounds9.5Over+10548.8%Under-13858.0%
  • CZach Edey
Sacramento Kings
Expected Starters
  • PGDarius Acuff Jr.
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
    Total Assists4.5Over-12154.8%Under-10952.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds7.5Over-12755.9%Under-10350.7%
    Total Points21.5Over-10350.7%Under-12455.4%
    Total Points and Assists25.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds24.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists29.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-17163.1%Under+12943.7%
  • SGZach LaVine
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
    Total Assists2.5Over-14258.7%Under+10848.1%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Points21.5Over-10751.7%Under-11954.3%
    Total Points and Assists24.5Over-10952.2%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points and Rebounds25.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists27.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
  • SFDe'Andre Hunter
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10651.5%Under-12455.4%
    Total Points11.5Over-11252.8%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds16.5Over-10350.7%Under-12755.9%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
  • PFKeegan Murray
  • CDomantas Sabonis
    Player props7 markets
    Total Assists6.5Over-13958.2%Under+10548.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds21.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Points18.5Over-11052.4%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Assists25.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds32.5Over-11954.3%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists40.5Over-10851.9%Under-12154.8%
    Total Rebounds13.5Over-13557.4%Under+10249.5%
Relevant Bench
  • FPrecious Achiuwa
    Player props3 markets
    Total Points10.5Over+10349.3%Under-13156.7%
    Total Points and Rebounds17.5Over-11453.3%Under-11653.7%
    Total Rebounds7.5Over+10449.0%Under-13757.8%


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