Heat0 – 4vsHawks2 – 2

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendAtlanta Hawks games: +2.78 units on model side bets during the current streak

Model side bets in games featuring Atlanta Hawks are on a 3-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 2.78 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendAtlanta Hawks games: +1.65 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Atlanta Hawks went 3–1 (75.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.65 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Miami Heat	A-	C	B-
Atlanta Hawks	B-	C	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

MIA+136+3.5 (-105)

ATL-162-3.5 (-115)

Total 240.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 3 games

Miami Heat

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/26/26	vs DAL	L 109–113	L -7.5	U 240.5
10/24/26	@ CHA	L 110–115	L -4.5	U 227.5
10/23/26	vs DET	L 111–128	L +2.5	O 235.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Atlanta Hawks

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/26/26	@ HOU	L 110–120	L +4.5	O 228.5
10/24/26	vs HOU	L 114–121	L +1.5	O 227.5
10/23/26	@ CHA	W 128–81	W -2.5	U 226.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Heat and Hawks
	Statistic
44.8 (43.5)	Field Goals Made	44.1 (43.3)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Miami Heat

Expected Starters

PGDavion Mitchell
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15160.2%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
SGKlay Thompson
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-11453.3%Under-11553.5%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
SFAndrew Wiggins
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11152.6%Under-11954.3%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
PFGiannis Antetokounmpo
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists6.5Over+11346.9%Under-14959.8%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
CBam Adebayo
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10150.2%Under-13056.5%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access

Relevant Bench

FBobby Portis
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-12455.4%Under-10651.5%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
FPelle LarssonDay-To-Day
Larsson is listed as probable for Wednesday's game at Atlanta due to a right ankle sprain.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 4:04 PM EDT
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals0.5Over-21167.8%Under+15938.6%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access

Atlanta Hawks

Expected Starters

PGCJ McCollum
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+13442.7%Under-17763.9%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
SGNickeil Alexander-Walker
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-16862.7%Under+12744.1%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
SFDyson Daniels
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists4.5Over-11653.7%Under-11453.3%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
PFJalen Johnson
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access
COnyeka Okongwu
Player props1 of 5 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10149.8%Under-13357.1%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access

Relevant Bench

FAaron WigginsDay-To-Day
Wiggins is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Heat due to a left knee contusion.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 5:07 PM EDT
Player props1 of 5 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-17763.9%Under+13442.7%
See more with PremiumUnlock every available prop for this player.Unlock full access

Player availability

Injury report

Miami Heat

GPelle LarssonAnkleDay-To-Day
Larsson is listed as probable for Wednesday's game at Atlanta due to a right ankle sprain.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 4:04 PM EDT
FSimone FontecchioIllnessDay-To-Day
Fontecchio is doubtful for Wednesday's game in Atlanta due to an illness, per Tim Reynolds of Associated Press.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 4:03 PM EDT

Atlanta Hawks

CHenri VeesaarKneeOut
Veesaar was diagnosed with a torn right ACL and is expected to miss the 2026-27 season, the Hawks announced Monday.
Updated: Sep 21, 2026 at 3:50 PM EDT
FMouhamed GueyeFootOut
Gueye underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a fractured left foot that he suffered during a workout last week, Brad Rowland of the Locked On Podcast Network reports.
Updated: Oct 19, 2026 at 3:38 PM EDT
GAaron WigginsKneeDay-To-Day
Wiggins is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Heat due to a left knee contusion.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 5:07 PM EDT