Nuggets1 – 2vsPelicans0 – 3

Sharp side

Model value

Model trendNew Orleans Pelicans games: +0.72 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring New Orleans Pelicans went 2–1 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.72 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total

Unlock pick

Model value

Model trendNew Orleans Pelicans games: +2.65 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring New Orleans Pelicans went 3–0 (100.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.65 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

Team	Offense	Defense	Overall
Denver Nuggets	B+	C+	B
New Orleans Pelicans	A-	D+	C+

Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings

TeamMoneylineSpread

DEN-185-4.5 (-115)

NO+154+4.5 (-105)

Total 240.5Over -110Under -110

Recent form

Last 3 games

Denver Nuggets

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS0–3–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/26/26	vs GS	L 114–134	L -6.5	O 236.5
10/24/26	vs NO	W 141–135	L -11.5	O 239.5
10/22/26	@ OKC	L 84–96	L +7.5	U 236.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New Orleans Pelicans

Overall0–3–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P

Date	Opponent	Result	Spread	Total
10/24/26	@ DEN	L 135–141	W +11.5	O 239.5
10/23/26	@ UTAH	L 119–120	W +1.5	O 238.5
10/21/26	vs IND	L 120–123	L +2.5	O 238.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Nuggets and Pelicans
	Statistic
45.2 (42.9)	Field Goals Made	46.2 (42.2)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Denver Nuggets

Expected Starters

PGJamal Murray
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals3.5Over+12943.7%Under-17163.1%
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SGChristian Braun
Player props1 of 4 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+13842.0%Under-18364.7%
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SFCameron JohnsonDay-To-Day
Johnson (ankle) is doubtful to face the Pelicans on Wednesday.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT
PFAaron Gordon
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-14959.8%Under+11346.9%
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CNikola Jokic
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-13156.7%Under-10150.2%
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New Orleans Pelicans

Expected Starters

PGDejounte Murray
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-10250.5%Under-12956.3%
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SGJeremiah Fears
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+17436.5%Under-23370.0%
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SFTrey Murphy III
Player props1 of 8 markets
Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11945.7%Under-15761.1%
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PFZion Williamson
Player props1 of 7 markets
Total Assists3.5Over+11845.9%Under-15560.8%
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CYves MissiOut
Missi has been diagnosed with a left knee bone bruise and he will miss an extended period of time, Brett Siegel of ClutchPoints.com reports.
Updated: Oct 24, 2026 at 6:17 PM EDT

Player availability

Injury report

Denver Nuggets

FAlpha DialloPersonalOut
Diallo is out for Wednesday's game against the Pelicans due to personal reasons.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 6:34 PM EDT
GJulian StrawtherKneeOut
Strawther (knee) was diagnosed with a left knee sprain Friday and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Vinny Benedetto of The Denver Gazette reports.
Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 8:52 PM EDT
FSpencer JonesHamstringOut
Jones (hamstring) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against New Orleans.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT

New Orleans Pelicans

CYves MissiKneeOut
Missi has been diagnosed with a left knee bone bruise and he will miss an extended period of time, Brett Siegel of ClutchPoints.com reports.
Updated: Oct 24, 2026 at 6:17 PM EDT
GJordan PooleIllnessDay-To-Day
Poole (illness) is listed as probable for Wednesday's game against Denver.
Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 3:18 PM EDT