NBA matchup
10/28/20268:00 PMTarget CenterMinneapolis, MN

Warriors1 – 3vsTimberwolves3 – 1

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendMinnesota Timberwolves games: +1.67 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Minnesota Timberwolves went 3–1 (75.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.67 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value
Model trendGolden State Warriors games: +0.82 units on model total bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model total bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Golden State Warriors went 2–1 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.82 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Golden State WarriorsC-B-C
Minnesota TimberwolvesCB-C+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
GS+130+3.5 (-105)
MIN-155-3.5 (-115)
Total 228.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Golden State Warriors

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/26/26@ DENW 134–114W +6.5O 236.5
10/24/26@ PHXL 122–131W +9.5O 221.5
10/23/26vs MEML 108–111L -4.5U 236.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/26/26@ CLEL 125–127W +3.5O 234.5
10/25/26vs TORW 117–94W -3.5U 228.5
10/23/26@ ORLW 115–93W +1.5U 234.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Warriors and Timberwolves
Statistic
38.1 (40.8)Field Goals Made39.4 (42.4)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Golden State Warriors
Expected Starters
  • PGStephen Curry
  • SGBrandin Podziemski
  • SFYaxel LendeborgDay-To-Day
    Lendeborg (foot) is questionable for Wednesday's game against Minnesota.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 4:33 PM EDT
  • PFGui Santos
  • CDraymond Green
Minnesota Timberwolves
Expected Starters
  • PGLaMelo Ball
  • SGAnthony EdwardsOut
    Edwards will undergo arthroscopic right knee surgery and is expected to miss up to two months, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 6:52 PM EDT
  • SFJaden McDaniels
  • PFJonathan Kuminga
  • CRudy Gobert

Player availability

Injury report

Golden State Warriors
  • FJimmy Butler IIIKneeOut
    Butler (knee) could return sometime between January and February as he continues recovering from a torn right ACL, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
    Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 12:11 PM EDT
  • CKristaps PorzingisIllnessOut
    Porzingis is contemplating his future in basketball as he deals with recurring symptoms from the autoimmune condition termed as postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
    Updated: Oct 21, 2026 at 2:27 PM EDT
  • GMoses MoodyKneeOut
    Moody (knee) is progressing toward a potential return between December and January after rupturing his left patellar tendon in March, Anthony Slater of ESPN reports.
    Updated: Oct 16, 2026 at 12:14 PM EDT
Minnesota Timberwolves
  • GAnthony EdwardsKneeOut
    Edwards will undergo arthroscopic right knee surgery and is expected to miss up to two months, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 6:52 PM EDT
  • GDonte DiVincenzoAchillesOut
    DiVincenzo (Achilles) remains confident that he'll return during the 2026-27 season, Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic reports.
    Updated: Oct 5, 2026 at 4:53 PM EDT

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