NBA matchup
10/28/20269:30 PMAmerican Airlines CenterDallas, TX

Thunder4 – 0vsMavericks2 – 2

Sharp side
Model value
Model trendDallas Mavericks games: +1.59 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Dallas Mavericks went 3–1 (75.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.59 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Oklahoma City ThunderC+AB+
Dallas MavericksB-D+C
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
OKC-205-5.5 (-115)
DAL+170+5.5 (-105)
Total 229.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Oklahoma City Thunder

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/26/26vs PHXW 125–114W -8.5O 221.5
10/25/26vs LACW 108–101L -16.5U 223.5
10/22/26vs DENW 96–84W -7.5U 236.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Dallas Mavericks

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U0–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/26/26@ MIAW 113–109W +7.5U 240.5
10/24/26vs SAL 106–122L +14.5U 229.5
10/23/26@ INDW 121–105W +7.5U 241.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Thunder and Mavericks
Statistic
42.3 (42.8)Field Goals Made40.9 (42.0)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Oklahoma City Thunder
Expected Starters
  • PGShai Gilgeous-Alexander
  • SGJared McCain
  • SFAlex CarusoOut
    Caruso (ankle) won't play Wednesday in Dallas.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 5:35 PM EDT
  • PFChet HolmgrenOut
    Holmgren (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Mavericks.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 5:41 PM EDT
  • CIsaiah Hartenstein
Dallas Mavericks
Expected Starters
  • PGKyrie IrvingDay-To-Day
    Irving (knee) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 6:04 PM EDT
  • SGMax Christie
  • SFCooper Flagg
  • PFP.J. Washington
  • CDaniel Gafford

Player availability

Injury report

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • GAlex CarusoAnkleOut
    Caruso (ankle) won't play Wednesday in Dallas.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 5:35 PM EDT
  • GCason WallaceShoulderOut
    Wallace has been diagnosed with a torn labrum in his left shoulder and will require surgery, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
    Updated: Oct 26, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT
  • CChet HolmgrenKneeOut
    Holmgren (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Mavericks.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 5:41 PM EDT
Dallas Mavericks
  • FCaleb MartinThumbOut
    Martin (thumb) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Thunder.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 6:07 PM EDT
  • CDereck Lively IIFootOut
    Lively (foot) has been ruled out for Friday's game against the Pacers.
    Updated: Oct 22, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT
  • FSanti AldamaKneeOut
    The Mavericks recalled Aldama (knee) from the G League's Texas Legends on Tuesday.
    Updated: Oct 27, 2026 at 9:05 PM EDT

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