CFB matchup
11/07/20263:00 PMCentennial Bank StadiumJonesboro, AR

UL Monroe1 – 7vsArkansas State4 – 4

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendArkansas State Red Wolves games: +0.60 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Arkansas State Red Wolves went 4–3 (57.1%) this season, for an estimated profit of 0.60 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendArkansas State Red Wolves games: +0.88 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring Arkansas State Red Wolves went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.88 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
UL Monroe WarhawksFD-D-
Arkansas State Red WolvesC-CC-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
ULM+500+14.5 (-110)
ARST-700-14.5 (-110)
Total 52.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

UL Monroe Warhawks

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/31/26vs USML 21–35L +3.5O 54.5
10/24/26@ TROYW 21–14W +13.5U 50.5
10/17/26vs LTL 0–24L +13.5U 55.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26vs GASTW 38–32W +2.5O 58.5
10/17/26@ USMW 23–13W -5.5U 61.5
10/8/26vs USAL 49–56L -3O 60.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for UL Monroe and Arkansas State
Statistic
355.0 (333.5)Total Yards418.7 (383.5)



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