CFB matchup
11/07/20268:00 PMAggie Memorial StadiumLas Cruces, NM

Liberty7 – 1vsNew Mexico State3 – 5

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendLiberty Flames games: +2.75 units on model side bets rated 3 stars or better this season

Model side bets rated 3 stars or better in games featuring Liberty Flames went 3–0 (100.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.75 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendNew Mexico State Aggies games: +0.87 units on model total bets in the past month

Model total bets in games featuring New Mexico State Aggies went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.87 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Liberty FlamesCC+C
New Mexico State AggiesD+CC-
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
LIB-900-17.5 (-102)
NMSU+600+17.5 (-118)
Total 47.5Over -102Under -118
Recent form

Last 3 games

Liberty Flames

Overall3–0–0W–L–TATS3–0–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/31/26vs FIUW 49–10W -13.5O 45.5
10/22/26@ KENNW 34–6W -8.5U 50.5
10/8/26vs SHSUW 35–3W -13.5U 52.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New Mexico State Aggies

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/28/26vs JXSTL 0–24L +3U 50.5
10/21/26@ SHSUW 30–24W -3O 46.5
10/7/26@ FIUL 3–22L +7U 46.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Liberty and New Mexico State
Statistic
415.7 (427.1)Total Yards337.3 (330.3)



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