CFB matchup
11/07/20263:30 PMFloyd StadiumMurfreesboro, TN

Western Kentucky3 – 5vsMiddle Tennessee4 – 4

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers games: +0.78 units on model side bets in the past month

Model side bets in games featuring Western Kentucky Hilltoppers went 2–1 (66.7%) in the past month, for an estimated profit of 0.78 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders games: +3.58 units on model total bets during the current streak

Model total bets in games featuring Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are on a 4-bet win streak, for an estimated profit of 3.58 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Western Kentucky HilltoppersCD+C-
Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersDC-D+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
WKU-108+1.5 (-115)
MTSU-112-1.5 (-105)
Total 53.5Over -108Under -112
Recent form

Last 3 games

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/27/26vs DELL 21–35L -2.5O 55.5
10/14/26@ SHSUW 16–3W -1.5U 53.5
10/8/26vs MOSTW 34–13W +1.5U 56.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U3–0–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/28/26vs KENNL 28–44L +1.5O 49.5
10/20/26@ FIUW 26–23W +10.5O 46.5
10/13/26vs DELW 33–30W +1.5O 49.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee
Statistic
394.8 (382.8)Total Yards417.1 (381.8)



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