CFB matchup
11/14/20264:00 PMBobcat Stadium (TX)San Marcos, TX

Fresno State5 – 4vsTexas State5 – 4

Sharp side
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Model value
Model trendFresno State Bulldogs games: +2.47 units on model side bets this season

Model side bets in games featuring Fresno State Bulldogs went 6–3 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.47 units when staking one unit per bet.

Sharp total
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Model value
Model trendFresno State Bulldogs games: +2.47 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Fresno State Bulldogs went 6–3 (66.7%) this season, for an estimated profit of 2.47 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Fresno State BulldogsC-B-C
Texas State BobcatsBCC+

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Sportsbook context

Game lines

— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
FRES+240+7.0 (-110)
TXST-298-7.0 (-110)
Total 58.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 3 games

Fresno State Bulldogs

Overall1–2–0W–L–TATS1–2–0W–L–PO/U2–1–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/7/26@ USUL 10–17L +1.5U 44.5
10/31/26vs ORSTW 38–22W +6O 57.5
10/17/26@ SDSUL 23–26L -6.5O 46.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Texas State Bobcats

Overall2–1–0W–L–TATS2–1–0W–L–PO/U1–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
11/7/26@ ORSTW 42–21W +4U 72.5
10/31/26@ BOISL 45–46W +10O 63.5
10/24/26vs USUW 20–17L -14.5U 58.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Fresno State and Texas State
Statistic
352.0 (360.8)Total Yards460.0 (494.8)



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