NHL matchup
10/13/20267:30 PMCanadian Tire CentreOttawa, ON

Blues3 – 2 – 1vsSenators5 – 2 – 0

Sharp side
🏠 Senators +105
Model value
Team trendSt. Louis Blues opponents: +2.44 units outright in past year

Outright bets against the St. Louis Blues have won in 47 of 85 games (55.3%) in the past year, returning a profit of 2.44 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total
↑ Over 5.5
Model value
Team trendSt. Louis Blues games: +1.37 units on Over this season

4 of 6 games (66.7%) featuring the St. Louis Blues have gone Over this season, returning a profit of 1.37 units when betting one unit per game.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
St. Louis Blues2.841.3%
Ottawa Senators3.458.7%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
St. Louis BluesD+B-C
Ottawa SenatorsBB-B-
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of Canadian Tire Centre in OttawaBlues vs. Senators preview: Ottawa’s hot start meets a tougher testOttawa has won five of six, but a back-to-back, blue-line injuries and a different expected goalie matchup complicate a nearly even market against St. Louis.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
STL-125-1.5 (+215)
OTT+105+1.5 (-265)
Total 5.5Over -122Under +102
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
STL-130-1.5 (+185)
OTT+105+1.5 (-225)
Total 5.5Over -120Under +100
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
STL-124-1.5 (+205)
OTT+104+1.5 (-265)
Total 5.5Over -129Under +104
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
STL-121—
OTT+102—
Total —Over —Under —
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
STL-122-1.5 (+210)
OTT+110+1.5 (-245)
Total 6.0Over +100Under -120
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
STL-126-1.5 (+205)
OTT+105+1.5 (-260)
Total 5.5Over -124Under +102
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
STL-125-1.5 (+180)
OTT+105+1.5 (-250)
Total 5.5Over -120Under +100
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
STL-125-1.5 (+200)
OTT+105+1.5 (-250)
Total 5.5Over -125Under +105
Recent form

Last 10 games

St. Louis Blues

Overall6–4–0W–L–TPuck Line6–4–0W–L–PO/U7–3–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/10/26vs CBJW 5–3W -1.5O 5.5
10/8/26vs SJL 2–3L -1.5U 5.5
10/6/26@ CHIL 2–4L -1.5O 5.5
10/3/26@ COLL 1–6L +1.5O 6.5
10/2/26@ DALW 4–0W +1.5U 5.5
4/16/26@ UTAHW 5–3W +1.5O 6.5
4/14/26vs PITW 7–5W -1.5O 6.5
4/13/26vs MINW 6–3W -1.5O 5.5
4/11/26@ CHIW 5–3W -1.5O 5.5
4/9/26vs WPGL 2–3L -1.5U 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Ottawa Senators

Overall5–5–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/12/26@ NJW 4–1W +1.5U 5.5
10/10/26vs NSHW 3–2L -1.5U 5.5
10/8/26vs PHIW 2–1L -1.5U 5.5
10/6/26@ DETL 3–5L +1.5O 6.5
10/5/26@ BOSW 4–1W -1.5U 5.5
10/3/26@ TORW 3–2W +1.5U 6.5
4/25/26vs CARL 2–4L +1.5O 5.5
4/23/26vs CARL 1–2L -1.5U 5.5
4/20/26@ CARL 2–3W +1.5U 5.5
4/18/26@ CARL 0–2L +1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Blues and Senators
Statistic
25.3 (25.3)Shots28.5 (28.5)
21.7 (21.6)Hits24.6 (24.6)
13.3 (13.4)Blocked Shots14.1 (14.1)
26.6 (26.6)Faceoffs Won30.8 (30.9)
2.6 (2.6)Power Play Opportunities3.4 (3.4)
4.2 (4.3)Takeaways4.9 (4.9)
14.7 (14.7)Giveaways14.4 (14.4)
3.3 (3.3)Penalties4.0 (4.0)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

BluesJoel HoferConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves25.5Over-12555.6%Under-11052.4%
SenatorsSamuel ErssonConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves20.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
Lineup context

Projected lines

St. Louis Blues
First line
  • CRobert Thomas
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
    Total Points0.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
  • LWDylan Holloway
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+17037.0%Under-23570.1%
    Total Points0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
  • RWJimmy Snuggerud
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+18535.1%Under-25071.4%
    Total Points0.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10050.0%Under-14058.3%
  • DPhilip Broberg
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+29525.3%Under-42581.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+22031.3%Under-31075.6%
Second line
  • CMason McTavish
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+31024.4%Under-45081.8%
    Total Points0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-18064.3%Under+13043.5%
  • LWConnor McMichael
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+22031.3%Under-30075.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
  • RWJonatan Berggren
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+24529.0%Under-34077.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+16038.5%Under-21568.3%
  • DJustin Barron
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+60014.3%Under-100090.9%
    Total Points0.5Over+47517.4%Under-75088.2%
  • DColton Parayko
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+31024.4%Under-45081.8%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-19065.5%Under+13542.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+25028.6%Under-35077.8%
Ottawa Senators
First line
  • CTim Stutzle
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-11052.4%Under-12555.6%
    Total Points0.5Over-21568.3%Under+15539.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • LWWarren Foegele
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+29525.3%Under-42581.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22068.8%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • RWDrake Batherson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+16038.5%Under-22068.8%
    Total Points0.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
  • DThomas Chabot
    Player props4 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+11546.5%Under-16061.5%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over-14058.3%Under+10050.0%
    Total Points0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
  • DJordan Spence
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+36021.7%Under-52584.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+28526.0%Under-40080.0%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+11546.5%Under-15560.8%
Second line
  • CDylan Cozens
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+15539.2%Under-21067.7%
    Total Points0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
  • LWAndre Burakovsky
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+19533.9%Under-27073.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
  • RWRidly Greig
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+24029.4%Under-34077.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+15040.0%Under-20567.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
  • DTyler Kleven
  • DCarter Yakemchuk
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+28026.3%Under-39079.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+18035.7%Under-25071.4%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over+12045.5%Under-16562.3%


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