NHL matchup
10/13/20268:45 PMAmerican Airlines CenterDallas, TX

Avalanche4 – 2 – 1vsStars3 – 3 – 1

Sharp side
✈️ Avalanche -102
Model value
Team trendDallas Stars opponents: +2.22 units outright this season

Outright bets against the Dallas Stars have won in 4 of 7 games (57.1%) this season, returning a profit of 2.22 units when betting one unit per game.

Sharp total
↓ Under 5.5
Model value
Team trendDallas Stars games: +6.16 units on Under this season

7 of 7 games (100.0%) featuring the Dallas Stars have gone Under this season, returning a profit of 6.16 units when betting one unit per game.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Colorado Avalanche2.954.8%
Dallas Stars2.645.2%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamSkatersGoalieOverall
Colorado AvalancheA+A-A+
Dallas StarsBA-B+
Featured analysis

Matchup preview

Editorial oil painting of a sports venue with expressive brushwork.Avalanche vs. Stars: Colorado’s scoring surge meets Dallas’ stingy goaltendingColorado's high-scoring wins meet Jake Oettinger's strong early goaltending. A nearly even moneyline and a lower 5.5-goal total sharpen the contrast.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-102+1.5 (-270)
DAL-118-1.5 (+220)
Total 5.5Over -130Under +110
BetMGM
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-105+1.5 (-250)
DAL-115-1.5 (+200)
Total 5.5Over -118Under -102
BetRivers
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL+100+1.5 (-278)
DAL-120-1.5 (+215)
Total 5.5Over -129Under +104
Caesars
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-102—
DAL-115—
Total —Over —Under —
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-105-1.5 (+220)
DAL-107+1.5 (-260)
Total 5.5Over -120Under +100
FanDuel
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-110+1.5 (-290)
DAL-110-1.5 (+235)
Total 5.5Over -118Under -104
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-110+1.5 (-300)
DAL-110-1.5 (+200)
Total 5.5Over -120Under +100
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylinePuck Line
COL-110-1.5 (+215)
DAL-110+1.5 (-290)
Total 5.5Over -125Under +105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Colorado Avalanche

Overall4–6–0W–L–TPuck Line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/10/26vs TORL 3–6L -1.5O 6.5
10/8/26@ CGYW 7–3W -1.5O 6.5
10/7/26@ WPGL 2–3L -1.5U 6.5
10/3/26vs STLW 6–1W -1.5O 6.5
9/30/26vs LAW 8–4W -1.5O 6.5
5/26/26@ VGKL 1–2W +1.5U 6.5
5/24/26@ VGKL 3–5L -1.5O 6.5
5/22/26vs VGKL 1–3L -1.5U 6.5
5/20/26vs VGKL 2–4L -1.5U 6.5
5/13/26vs MINW 4–3L -1.5O 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Dallas Stars

Overall4–6–0W–L–TPuck Line5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultPuck LineTotal
10/10/26@ PITL 1–2L -1.5U 6.5
10/8/26@ BUFW 4–0W -1.5U 6.5
10/5/26vs SJW 5–0W -1.5U 6.5
10/3/26@ NSHL 1–2L -1.5U 6.5
10/2/26vs STLL 0–4L -1.5U 5.5
4/30/26@ MINL 2–5L +1.5O 5.5
4/28/26vs MINL 2–4L -1.5O 5.5
4/25/26@ MINL 2–3W +1.5U 5.5
4/22/26@ MINW 4–3W +1.5O 5.5
4/20/26vs MINW 4–2W -1.5O 5.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Avalanche and Stars
Statistic
32.8 (33.6)Shots25.1 (25.5)
18.6 (17.9)Hits20.3 (19.7)
12.8 (12.9)Blocked Shots15.0 (15.0)
30.1 (30.2)Faceoffs Won27.8 (27.7)
2.9 (3.1)Power Play Opportunities3.0 (3.1)
4.6 (4.6)Takeaways4.4 (4.6)
15.7 (15.6)Giveaways14.5 (14.4)
3.4 (3.4)Penalties3.8 (3.8)

Starting goalie context

Expected goalies

AvalancheMackenzie BlackwoodConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves21.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
StarsJake OettingerConfirmed
Player props1 market
Total Saves25.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
Lineup context

Projected lines

Colorado Avalanche
First line
  • CNathan MacKinnon
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Points1.5Over+14540.8%Under-19566.1%
    Total Shots on Goal3.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
  • LWArtturi Lehkonen
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+25028.6%Under-35077.8%
    Total Points0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
  • RWMartin Necas
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
    Total Points0.5Over-21067.7%Under+15539.2%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+12045.5%Under-16061.5%
  • DDevon Toews
    Player props4 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+12544.4%Under-17063.0%
    Total Blocked Shots1.5Over+11047.6%Under-15560.8%
    Total Points0.5Over-10551.2%Under-12555.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-10551.2%Under-13056.5%
  • DSam Malinski
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+21531.7%Under-30075.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+16537.7%Under-22569.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-15060.0%Under+11047.6%
Second line
  • CBrock Nelson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+23529.9%Under-33076.7%
    Total Points0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-12054.5%Under-11553.5%
  • LWGabriel Landeskog
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+28026.3%Under-39079.6%
    Total Points0.5Over+13542.6%Under-18564.9%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%
  • RWNazem Kadri
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+18035.7%Under-24571.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+10050.0%Under-13557.4%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+14041.7%Under-19566.1%
  • DBrett Kulak
  • DNoah Juulsen
Dallas Stars
First line
  • CRoope Hintz
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Points0.5Over-14058.3%Under+10548.8%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16061.5%Under+12045.5%
  • LWSam Steel
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+34022.7%Under-50083.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26072.2%
  • RWMikko Rantanen
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over-11553.5%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points0.5Over-20567.2%Under+15040.0%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over+13542.6%Under-18064.3%
  • DEsa Lindell
  • DMiro Heiskanen
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+10548.8%Under-14058.3%
    Total Points0.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-16061.5%Under+11546.5%
Second line
  • CArttu Hyry
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+60014.3%Under-100090.9%
    Total Points0.5Over+37021.3%Under-55084.6%
  • LWJason Robertson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+13043.5%Under-17563.6%
    Total Points0.5Over-18064.3%Under+13542.6%
    Total Shots on Goal2.5Over-13557.4%Under+10050.0%
  • RWJamie Benn
    Player props2 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+28026.3%Under-40080.0%
    Total Points0.5Over+16038.5%Under-21568.3%
  • DThomas Harley
    Player props3 markets
    Total Assists0.5Over+25528.2%Under-36078.3%
    Total Points0.5Over+19034.5%Under-26072.2%
    Total Shots on Goal1.5Over-13056.5%Under-10551.2%
  • DNils Lundkvist


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