NBA matchup
10/27/20268:00 PMFrost Bank CenterSan Antonio, TX

Kings0 – 4vsSpurs2 – 2

Sharp side
🏠 Spurs -19.5
Model value
Sharp total
↑ Over 232.5
Model value
Model trendSacramento Kings games: +1.72 units on model total bets this season

Model total bets in games featuring Sacramento Kings went 3–1 (75.0%) this season, for an estimated profit of 1.72 units when staking one unit per bet.

Model forecast

Projected outcome

Projected outcome: model scores and win probabilities
Team
Sacramento Kings105.22.5%
San Antonio Spurs131.197.5%
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamOffenseDefenseOverall
Sacramento KingsCD+C-
San Antonio SpursA-BB+
More for this matchup

Matchup articles

Editorial oil painting of Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.Kings vs. Spurs: A rebound edge meets a steep spreadSan Antonio has a promising rebounding advantage, but a 17.5-point spread demands more than a win. Sacramento’s scorers and defensive struggles complicate the matchup.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.Kings Parlay Picks vs. Spurs: Side & Support Parlay PlaysThree props to compare with a Kings upset: Castle’s rebounds, Vassell’s double figures and a Wembanyama points-and-rebounds under.Read analysis Editorial oil painting of Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, with abstract figures and unmarked surfaces.Spurs Parlay Picks vs. Kings: Side & Support Parlay PlaysModest scoring lines for Fox and Vassell, plus Castle’s assists, offer three ways to support a Spurs win over the Kings.Read analysis
Sportsbook context

Game lines

Best price Highlighted offers compare the same selection and line across the books shown.— No usable price supplied by that book.

DraftKings
TeamMoneylineSpread
SAC+1000+19.5 (-115)
SA-1800-19.5 (-105)
Total 232.5Over -108Under -112
BetMGM
TeamMoneylineSpread
SAC+1000+18.5 (-105)
SA-2000-18.5 (-115)
Total 232.5Over -105Under -115
BetRivers
TeamMoneylineSpread
SAC+1100+19.5 (-107)
SA-2500-19.5 (-114)
Total 232.5Over -107Under -114
Caesars
TeamMoneylineSpread
SAC+950+19.0 (-105)
SA-1700-19.0 (-115)
Total 232.5Over -110Under -110
Circa Sports
TeamMoneylineSpread
SAC+1000+18.5 (-110)
SA-1700-18.5 (-110)
Total 232.5Over -110Under -110
FanDuel
TeamMoneylineSpread
SAC+900+18.5 (-105)
SA-1600-18.5 (-115)
Total 232.5Over -110Under -110
Hard Rock Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
SAC+1000+19.5 (-115)
SA-2000-19.5 (-105)
Total 232.5Over -110Under -110
Kalshi
TeamMoneylineSpread
SAC+1150—
SA-1329—
Total —Over —Under —
theScore Bet
TeamMoneylineSpread
SAC+1000+18.5 (+100)
SA-2000-18.5 (-120)
Total 232.5Over -110Under -110
Recent form

Last 10 games

Sacramento Kings

Overall3–7–0W–L–TATS6–4–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/25/26vs MEML 112–123L +3.5O 234.5
10/23/26vs PORL 120–128W +9.5O 231.5
10/21/26@ LACL 96–121L +5.5U 226.5
4/12/26@ PORL 110–122W +18.5O 226.5
4/10/26vs GSW 124–118W +10.5O 228.5
4/7/26@ GSL 105–110W +14.5U 233.5
4/5/26vs LACL 109–138L +13.5O 228.5
4/3/26vs NOW 117–113W +6.5U 232.5
4/1/26@ TORW 123–115W +12.5O 227.5
3/29/26@ BKNL 99–116L +1.5U 216.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

San Antonio Spurs

Overall4–6–0W–L–TATS5–5–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultSpreadTotal
10/24/26@ DALW 122–106W -14.5U 229.5
10/23/26vs HOUL 110–114L -4.5U 224.5
10/20/26vs OKCL 104–116L +1.5U 229.5
6/13/26vs NYL 90–94L -5.5U 216.5
6/10/26@ NYL 106–107W +2.5U 216.5
6/8/26@ NYW 115–111W +1.5O 215.5
6/5/26vs NYL 104–105L -6.5U 217.5
6/3/26vs NYL 95–105L -4.5U 217.5
5/30/26@ OKCW 111–103W +3.5O 211.5
5/28/26vs OKCW 118–91W -3.5U 218.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Kings and Spurs
Statistic
39.7 (41.4)Field Goals Made47.4 (42.5)
9.6 (10.1)Three-Pointers Made15.5 (13.5)
16.2 (17.9)Free Throws Made20.8 (19.5)
40.4 (42.5)Rebounds47.5 (46.7)
24.1 (25.4)Assists31.5 (27.3)
7.9 (7.9)Steals7.8 (7.7)
4.2 (4.4)Blocks6.1 (5.8)
14.3 (13.8)Turnovers12.0 (12.8)

Lineup context

Projected Lineups

Sacramento Kings
Expected Starters
  • PGDarius Acuff Jr.
    Player props9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+11646.3%Under-15360.5%
    Total Assists4.5Over-11252.8%Under-11854.1%
    Total Assists and Rebounds7.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Points20.5Over-10651.5%Under-12054.5%
    Total Points and Assists24.5Over-12555.6%Under-10551.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds23.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists28.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Rebounds2.5Over-16362.0%Under+12444.6%
    Total Steals0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17037.0%
  • SGZach LaVine
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over-10250.5%Under-12956.3%
    Total Assists2.5Over-13056.5%Under-10150.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over+11247.2%Under-14759.5%
    Total Points20.5Over-10851.9%Under-11854.1%
    Total Points and Assists23.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds23.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists26.5Over-11453.3%Under-11553.5%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+10748.3%Under-14158.5%
  • SFDe'Andre Hunter
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+10947.8%Under-14459.0%
    Total Points9.5Over-10451.0%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds13.5Over-11252.8%Under-11753.9%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-15560.8%Under+11746.1%
  • PFKeegan Murray
  • CDomantas Sabonis
    Player props8 markets
    Total Assists5.5Over-13858.0%Under+10548.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds19.5Over-10250.5%Under-12956.3%
    Total Points15.5Over-10952.2%Under-11653.7%
    Total Points and Assists21.5Over-11553.5%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points and Rebounds28.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists34.5Over-11954.3%Under-11152.6%
    Total Rebounds12.5Over-13156.7%Under+10050.0%
    Total Steals0.5Over-19065.5%Under+14241.3%
Relevant Bench
  • FPrecious Achiuwa
    Player props3 markets
    Total Points10.5Over-10952.2%Under-11753.9%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-11453.3%Under-11553.5%
    Total Rebounds7.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
San Antonio Spurs
Expected Starters
  • PGDe'Aaron Fox
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-11052.4%Under-12054.5%
    Total Assists5.5Over-15460.6%Under+11646.3%
    Total Assists and Rebounds9.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points15.5Over-10651.5%Under-12154.8%
    Total Points and Assists21.5Over-11753.9%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points and Rebounds18.5Over-12154.8%Under-10851.9%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists25.5Over-10451.0%Under-12755.9%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over+10050.0%Under-13156.7%
  • SGStephon Castle
    Player props9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-12755.9%Under-10451.0%
    Total Assists6.5Over-10350.7%Under-12755.9%
    Total Assists and Rebounds11.5Over-12054.5%Under-10952.2%
    Total Points17.5Over-11252.8%Under-11453.3%
    Total Points and Assists24.5Over-10952.2%Under-12154.8%
    Total Points and Rebounds22.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists29.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Rebounds5.5Over+11346.9%Under-14959.8%
    Total Steals0.5Over-23069.7%Under+17037.0%
  • SFDylan Harper
    Player props9 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over+11845.9%Under-15660.9%
    Total Assists4.5Over+11546.5%Under-15160.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds9.5Over+10449.0%Under-13657.6%
    Total Points16.5Over-12054.5%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points and Assists21.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds21.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists26.5Over-11152.6%Under-11854.1%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over-14358.8%Under+10848.1%
    Total Steals0.5Over-21468.2%Under+15938.6%
  • PFDevin Vassell
    Player props8 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+14740.5%Under-19566.1%
    Total Assists2.5Over+11346.9%Under-14959.8%
    Total Assists and Rebounds6.5Over+11346.9%Under-14959.8%
    Total Points11.5Over-12154.8%Under-10651.5%
    Total Points and Assists14.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds15.5Over-12054.5%Under-11052.4%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists18.5Over-10350.7%Under-12856.1%
    Total Rebounds3.5Over-13256.9%Under+10050.0%
  • CVictor Wembanyama
    Player props11 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals1.5Over-15660.9%Under+11845.9%
    Total Assists2.5Over-14759.5%Under+11247.2%
    Total Assists and Rebounds14.5Over+10249.5%Under-13457.3%
    Total Blocks3.5Over+11845.9%Under-15761.1%
    Total Points26.5Over-11353.1%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points and Assists29.5Over-11653.7%Under-11353.1%
    Total Points and Rebounds37.5Over-12255.0%Under-10851.9%
    Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists40.5Over-12355.2%Under-10751.7%
    Total Rebounds11.5Over+10648.5%Under-13958.2%
    Total Steals0.5Over-23470.1%Under+17336.6%
    Total Steals and Blocks4.5Over+10050.0%Under-13256.9%
Relevant Bench
  • FJulian Champagnie
    Player props4 markets
    Total 3-Point Field Goals2.5Over+14441.0%Under-19165.6%
    Total Points8.5Over-12956.3%Under+10149.8%
    Total Points and Rebounds13.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over-10751.7%Under-12355.2%
  • FKeldon Johnson
    Player props3 markets
    Total Points10.5Over-11753.9%Under-10952.2%
    Total Points and Rebounds15.5Over-11553.5%Under-11553.5%
    Total Rebounds4.5Over-11854.1%Under-11152.6%


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