MLB matchup
05/07/20253:40 PMChase FieldPhoenix, Arizona

Mets71 – 84vsDiamondbacks81 – 74

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
New York MetsBB+B
Arizona DiamondbacksB-C+C+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
NYM-120-1.5 (+140)
ARI+100+1.5 (-165)
Total 9.5Over +105Under -125
Recent form

Last 10 games

New York Mets

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U6–4–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/6/25@ ARIL 1–5L -1.5U 9.5
5/5/25@ ARIW 5–4L -1.5U 9.5
5/4/25@ STLL 4–5L -1.5O 7.5
5/4/25@ STLL 5–6L -1.5O 8.5
5/2/25@ STLW 9–3W -1.5O 7.5
5/1/25vs ARIL 2–4L -1.5U 8.5
4/30/25vs ARIL 3–4W +1.5U 8.5
4/29/25vs ARIW 8–3W -1.5O 8.5
4/28/25@ WSHW 19–5W -1.5O 9.5
4/27/25@ WSHL 7–8L -1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
5/6/25vs NYMW 5–1W +1.5U 9.5
5/5/25vs NYML 4–5W +1.5U 9.5
5/4/25@ PHIW 11–9W +1.5O 8.5
5/3/25@ PHIL 2–7L +1.5U 9.5
5/2/25@ PHIL 2–3W +1.5U 9.5
5/1/25@ NYMW 4–2W +1.5U 8.5
4/30/25@ NYMW 4–3L -1.5U 8.5
4/29/25@ NYML 3–8L +1.5O 8.5
4/27/25vs ATLW 6–4W +1.5O 8.5
4/26/25vs ATLL 7–8L -1.5O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Mets and Diamondbacks
Statistic
N/A (8.0)HitsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.3)DoublesN/A (1.7)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.3)
N/A (8.4)StrikeoutsN/A (7.5)
N/A (0.6)Stolen BasesN/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MetsKodai SengaConfirmed
DiamondbacksMerrill KellyConfirmed

Starting lineups

New York MetsConfirmed
  1. 1Francisco LindorSS
  2. 2Juan SotoRF
  3. 3Pete Alonso1B
  4. 4Brandon NimmoDH
  5. 5Luis TorrensC
  6. 6Brett Baty3B
  7. 7Luisangel Acuna2B
  8. 8Jeff McNeilLF
  9. 9Tyrone TaylorCF
Arizona DiamondbacksConfirmed
  1. 1Corbin CarrollRF
  2. 2Geraldo PerdomoSS
  3. 3Pavin Smith1B
  4. 4Josh NaylorDH
  5. 5Eugenio Suarez3B
  6. 6Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
  7. 7Alek ThomasCF
  8. 8Tim Tawa2B
  9. 9Jose HerreraC


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