MLB matchup
07/10/20255:10 PMGreat American BallparkCincinnati, Ohio87°F · Cloudy-Dry

Marlins76 – 79vsReds72 – 83

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Miami MarlinsCC-C
Cincinnati RedsCC+C
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
MIA+140+1.5 (-150)
CIN-165-1.5 (+125)
Total 9.5Over +105Under -125
Recent form

Last 10 games

Miami Marlins

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line8–2–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/9/25@ CINL 2–7L +1.5O 8.5
7/8/25@ CINW 12–2W +1.5O 8.5
7/7/25@ CINW 5–1W +1.5U 9.5
7/6/25vs MILL 1–3L +1.5U 7.5
7/5/25vs MILW 4–2W +1.5U 8.5
7/4/25vs MILL 5–6W +1.5O 7.5
7/3/25vs MINW 4–1W +1.5U 7.5
7/2/25vs MINL 1–2W +1.5U 8.5
7/1/25vs MINW 2–0W +1.5U 7.5
6/29/25@ ARIW 6–4W +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Cincinnati Reds

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/9/25vs MIAW 7–2W -1.5O 8.5
7/8/25vs MIAL 2–12L -1.5O 8.5
7/7/25vs MIAL 1–5L -1.5U 9.5
7/6/25@ PHIL 1–3L +1.5U 8.5
7/5/25@ PHIL 1–5L +1.5U 8.5
7/4/25@ PHIW 9–6W +1.5O 8.5
7/2/25@ BOSW 8–4W +1.5O 9.5
7/1/25@ BOSL 3–5L -1.5U 9.5
6/30/25@ BOSL 6–13L +1.5O 7.5
6/29/25vs SDW 3–2L -1.5U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Marlins and Reds
Statistic
N/A (8.3)HitsN/A (7.6)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.4)
N/A (1.0)Home RunsN/A (1.3)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.0)
N/A (3.4)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (8.3)StrikeoutsN/A (9.5)
N/A (1.1)Stolen BasesN/A (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

MarlinsCal QuantrillConfirmed
RedsNick LodoloConfirmed

Starting lineups

Miami MarlinsConfirmed
  1. 1Xavier Edwards2B
  2. 2Agustin RamirezDH
  3. 3Otto LopezSS
  4. 4Eric Wagaman1B
  5. 5Connor Norby3B
  6. 6Dane MyersRF
  7. 7Heriberto HernandezLF
  8. 8Nick FortesC
  9. 9Derek HillCF
Cincinnati RedsConfirmed
  1. 1TJ FriedlCF
  2. 2Matt McLain2B
  3. 3Elly De La CruzSS
  4. 4Austin HaysDH
  5. 5Gavin LuxLF
  6. 6Spencer Steer1B
  7. 7Jose TrevinoC
  8. 8Will BensonRF
  9. 9Noelvi Marte3B


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