MLB matchup
07/11/20258:10 PMTarget FieldMinneapolis, Minnesota83°F · Overcast-Dry

Pirates78 – 77vsTwins72 – 83

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Pittsburgh PiratesC+A-B
Minnesota TwinsCB+B
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
PIT+120+1.5 (-215)
MIN-145-1.5 (+170)
Total 7.5Over +115Under -135
Recent form

Last 10 games

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/9/25@ KCL 3–4W +1.5U 8.5
7/8/25@ KCL 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
7/7/25@ KCL 3–9L +1.5O 8.5
7/6/25@ SEAL 0–1L -1.5U 6.5
7/5/25@ SEAL 0–1W +1.5U 7.5
7/4/25@ SEAL 0–6L +1.5U 7.5
7/2/25vs STLW 5–0W +1.5U 7.5
7/1/25vs STLW 1–0L -1.5U 7.5
6/30/25vs STLW 7–0W +1.5U 8.5
6/29/25vs NYMW 12–1W +1.5O 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Minnesota Twins

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U2–8–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/10/25vs CHCL 1–8L +1.5U 9.5
7/9/25vs CHCW 4–2W +1.5U 9.5
7/8/25vs CHCW 8–1W +1.5U 9.5
7/6/25vs TBL 5–7L +1.5O 8.5
7/5/25vs TBW 6–5W +1.5O 9.5
7/4/25vs TBW 4–3W +1.5U 10.5
7/3/25@ MIAL 1–4L -1.5U 7.5
7/2/25@ MIAW 2–1L -1.5U 8.5
7/1/25@ MIAL 0–2L -1.5U 7.5
6/29/25@ DETL 0–3L +1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Pirates and Twins
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.1)
N/A (1.6)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.2)Home RunsN/A (1.1)
N/A (13.9)Total BasesN/A (13.5)
N/A (3.5)WalksN/A (3.1)
N/A (9.3)StrikeoutsN/A (8.2)
N/A (0.8)Stolen BasesN/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PiratesPaul SkenesConfirmed
TwinsJoe RyanConfirmed

Starting lineups

Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Tommy PhamLF
  2. 2Andrew McCutchenDH
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Nick Gonzales2B
  5. 5Oneil CruzCF
  6. 6Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  7. 7Spencer Horwitz1B
  8. 8Henry DavisC
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS
Minnesota TwinsConfirmed
  1. 1Byron BuxtonCF
  2. 2Willi CastroLF
  3. 3Trevor LarnachDH
  4. 4Carlos CorreaSS
  5. 5Brooks Lee2B
  6. 6Matt WallnerRF
  7. 7Royce Lewis3B
  8. 8Kody Clemens1B
  9. 9Christian VazquezC


Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial