MLB matchup
07/12/20254:10 PMFenway ParkBoston, Massachusetts80°F · Cloudy-Dry

Rays94 – 60vsRed Sox84 – 71

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Tampa Bay RaysBC+B
Boston Red SoxB-A-B+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
TB+145+1.5 (-150)
BOS-175-1.5 (+125)
Total 8.5Over +105Under -125
Recent form

Last 10 games

Tampa Bay Rays

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/11/25@ BOSL 4–5L -1.5O 8.5
7/10/25@ BOSL 3–4L -1.5U 9.5
7/9/25@ DETW 7–3W +1.5O 8.5
7/8/25@ DETL 2–4L +1.5U 7.5
7/7/25@ DETL 1–5L -1.5U 8.5
7/6/25@ MINW 7–5W -1.5O 8.5
7/5/25@ MINL 5–6L -1.5O 9.5
7/4/25@ MINL 3–4L -1.5U 10.5
7/2/25vs ATHW 6–5L -1.5O 8.5
7/1/25vs ATHL 3–4L -1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Boston Red Sox

Overall9–1–0W–L–TRun line9–1–0W–L–PO/U8–2–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/11/25vs TBW 5–4W +1.5O 8.5
7/10/25vs TBW 4–3W +1.5U 9.5
7/9/25vs COLW 10–2W -2.5O 8.5
7/8/25vs COLW 10–2W -1.5O 8.5
7/7/25vs COLW 9–3W -1.5O 10.5
7/6/25@ WSHW 6–4W -1.5O 8.5
7/5/25@ WSHW 10–3W -1.5O 9.5
7/4/25@ WSHW 11–2W -1.5O 8.5
7/2/25vs CINL 4–8L -1.5O 9.5
7/1/25vs CINW 5–3W +1.5U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rays and Red Sox
Statistic
N/A (8.7)HitsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.4)DoublesN/A (1.8)
N/A (1.0)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.5)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (7.1)StrikeoutsN/A (8.2)
N/A (1.0)Stolen BasesN/A (0.7)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RaysShane BazConfirmed
Red SoxGarrett CrochetConfirmed

Starting lineups

Tampa Bay RaysConfirmed
  1. 1Yandy Diaz1B
  2. 2Ha-Seong Kim2B
  3. 3Jake MangumCF
  4. 4Junior CamineroDH
  5. 5Christopher MorelLF
  6. 6Curtis Mead3B
  7. 7Danny JansenC
  8. 8Jose CaballeroRF
  9. 9Taylor WallsSS
Boston Red SoxConfirmed
  1. 1Jarren DuranCF
  2. 2Ceddanne Rafaela2B
  3. 3Roman AnthonyLF
  4. 4Carlos NarvaezC
  5. 5Masataka YoshidaDH
  6. 6Trevor StorySS
  7. 7Wilyer AbreuRF
  8. 8Abraham Toro1B
  9. 9Marcelo Mayer3B


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