MLB matchup
07/21/20256:40 PMPNC ParkPittsburgh, Pennsylvania81°F · Sunny-Dry

Tigers73 – 82vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Detroit TigersB-BB
Pittsburgh PiratesC+A-B
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
DET+115+1.5 (-225)
PIT-135-1.5 (+175)
Total 7.5Over +105Under -125
Recent form

Last 10 games

Detroit Tigers

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line3–7–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/20/25@ TEXW 2–1L -1.5U 6.5
7/19/25@ TEXL 1–4L -1.5U 8.5
7/18/25@ TEXL 0–2L -1.5U 8.5
7/13/25vs SEAL 4–8L +1.5O 8.5
7/12/25vs SEAL 7–15L +1.5O 7.5
7/11/25vs SEAL 3–12L -1.5O 6.5
7/9/25vs TBL 3–7L -1.5O 8.5
7/8/25vs TBW 4–2W -1.5U 7.5
7/7/25vs TBW 5–1W +1.5U 8.5
7/6/25@ CLEW 7–2W -1.5O 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall1–9–0W–L–TRun line4–6–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/20/25vs CHWL 2–7L -1.5U 9.5
7/19/25vs CHWL 4–10L -1.5O 7.5
7/18/25vs CHWL 1–10L -1.5O 8.5
7/13/25@ MINW 2–1W +1.5U 8.5
7/12/25@ MINL 4–12L +1.5O 9.5
7/11/25@ MINL 1–2W +1.5U 7.5
7/9/25@ KCL 3–4W +1.5U 8.5
7/8/25@ KCL 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
7/7/25@ KCL 3–9L +1.5O 8.5
7/6/25@ SEAL 0–1L -1.5U 6.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Tigers and Pirates
Statistic
N/A (8.1)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.1)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.9)
N/A (3.6)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (8.9)StrikeoutsN/A (9.3)
N/A (0.3)Stolen BasesN/A (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TigersJack FlahertyConfirmed
PiratesPaul SkenesConfirmed

Starting lineups

Detroit TigersConfirmed
  1. 1Colt Keith3B
  2. 2Gleyber Torres2B
  3. 3Riley GreeneDH
  4. 4Spencer Torkelson1B
  5. 5Zach McKinstryRF
  6. 6Dillon DinglerC
  7. 7Parker MeadowsCF
  8. 8Matt VierlingLF
  9. 9Trey SweeneySS
Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Spencer Horwitz1B
  2. 2Andrew McCutchenDH
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsRF
  4. 4Nick Gonzales2B
  5. 5Oneil CruzCF
  6. 6Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  7. 7Jack SuwinskiLF
  8. 8Henry DavisC
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS


Get the complete matchup

Unlock every rated bet and the complete matchup intelligence with Premium.

Start 7-day free trial