MLB matchup
07/22/20256:40 PMPNC ParkPittsburgh, Pennsylvania81°F · Sunny-Dry

Tigers73 – 82vsPirates78 – 77

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Detroit TigersB-BB
Pittsburgh PiratesC+C+C+
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
DET-130-1.5 (+130)
PIT+110+1.5 (-155)
Total 8.5Over +110Under -130
Recent form

Last 10 games

Detroit Tigers

Overall3–7–0W–L–TRun line2–8–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/21/25@ PITL 0–3L +1.5U 7.5
7/20/25@ TEXW 2–1L -1.5U 6.5
7/19/25@ TEXL 1–4L -1.5U 8.5
7/18/25@ TEXL 0–2L -1.5U 8.5
7/13/25vs SEAL 4–8L +1.5O 8.5
7/12/25vs SEAL 7–15L +1.5O 7.5
7/11/25vs SEAL 3–12L -1.5O 6.5
7/9/25vs TBL 3–7L -1.5O 8.5
7/8/25vs TBW 4–2W -1.5U 7.5
7/7/25vs TBW 5–1W +1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
7/21/25vs DETW 3–0W -1.5U 7.5
7/20/25vs CHWL 2–7L -1.5U 9.5
7/19/25vs CHWL 4–10L -1.5O 7.5
7/18/25vs CHWL 1–10L -1.5O 8.5
7/13/25@ MINW 2–1W +1.5U 8.5
7/12/25@ MINL 4–12L +1.5O 9.5
7/11/25@ MINL 1–2W +1.5U 7.5
7/9/25@ KCL 3–4W +1.5U 8.5
7/8/25@ KCL 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
7/7/25@ KCL 3–9L +1.5O 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Tigers and Pirates
Statistic
N/A (8.1)HitsN/A (8.7)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.1)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (13.3)Total BasesN/A (13.9)
N/A (3.6)WalksN/A (3.5)
N/A (8.9)StrikeoutsN/A (9.3)
N/A (0.3)Stolen BasesN/A (0.8)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

TigersCasey MizeConfirmed
PiratesMitch KellerConfirmed

Starting lineups

Detroit TigersConfirmed
  1. 1Colt KeithDH
  2. 2Gleyber Torres2B
  3. 3Wenceel PerezRF
  4. 4Riley GreeneLF
  5. 5Spencer Torkelson1B
  6. 6Zach McKinstry3B
  7. 7Parker MeadowsCF
  8. 8Javier BaezSS
  9. 9Jake RogersC
Pittsburgh PiratesConfirmed
  1. 1Spencer Horwitz1B
  2. 2Nick Gonzales2B
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsDH
  4. 4Tommy PhamLF
  5. 5Oneil CruzCF
  6. 6Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
  7. 7Alexander CanarioRF
  8. 8Henry DavisC
  9. 9Isiah Kiner-FalefaSS


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