MLB matchup
09/11/20253:07 PMRogers CentreToronto, Ontario

Astros77 – 78vsBlue Jays76 – 79

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Houston AstrosBC+B-
Toronto Blue JaysC+B+B
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
HOU+140+1.5 (-160)
TOR-165-1.5 (+135)
Total 8.5Over -105Under -115
Recent form

Last 10 games

Houston Astros

Overall4–6–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/10/25@ TORW 3–2W +1.5U 8.5
9/9/25@ TORL 3–4W +1.5U 8.5
9/7/25@ TEXL 2–4L -1.5U 8.5
9/6/25@ TEXW 11–0W -1.5O 6.5
9/5/25@ TEXL 3–4L -1.5U 7.5
9/4/25vs NYYL 4–8L +1.5O 8.5
9/3/25vs NYYW 8–7W +1.5O 9.5
9/2/25vs NYYL 1–7L +1.5O 7.5
9/1/25vs LAAW 8–3W -1.5O 8.5
8/31/25vs LAAL 0–3L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Toronto Blue Jays

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/10/25vs HOUL 2–3L -1.5U 8.5
9/9/25vs HOUW 4–3L -1.5U 8.5
9/7/25@ NYYL 3–4W +1.5U 7.5
9/6/25@ NYYL 1–3L +1.5U 9.5
9/5/25@ NYYW 7–1W +1.5U 8.5
9/3/25@ CINW 13–9W -1.5O 8.5
9/2/25@ CINW 12–9W -1.5O 8.5
9/1/25@ CINL 4–5W +1.5O 7.5
8/31/25vs MILW 8–4W +1.5O 7.5
8/30/25vs MILL 1–4L -1.5U 8.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Astros and Blue Jays
Statistic
N/A (8.0)HitsN/A (8.5)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.6)
N/A (1.3)Home RunsN/A (1.0)
N/A (13.8)Total BasesN/A (13.4)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (2.9)
N/A (8.2)StrikeoutsN/A (7.1)
N/A (0.3)Stolen BasesN/A (0.4)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

AstrosCristian JavierConfirmed
Blue JaysKevin GausmanConfirmed

Starting lineups

Houston AstrosConfirmed
  1. 1Jeremy PenaSS
  2. 2Yordan AlvarezDH
  3. 3Carlos Correa3B
  4. 4Jose Altuve2B
  5. 5Jesus SanchezRF
  6. 6Yainer DiazC
  7. 7Christian Walker1B
  8. 8Taylor TrammellLF
  9. 9Mauricio DubonCF
Toronto Blue JaysConfirmed
  1. 1George SpringerDH
  2. 2Nathan LukesRF
  3. 3Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
  4. 4Addison Barger3B
  5. 5Ernie ClementSS
  6. 6Daulton VarshoCF
  7. 7Davis SchneiderLF
  8. 8Tyler HeinemanC
  9. 9Andres Gimenez2B


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