MLB matchup
09/16/20257:10 PMCiti FieldQueens, New York69°F · Cloudy-Dry

Padres86 – 69vsMets71 – 84

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
San Diego PadresBBB
New York MetsBB+B
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
SD+105-1.5 (+170)
NYM-125+1.5 (-215)
Total 7.5Over -125Under +105
Recent form

Last 10 games

San Diego Padres

Overall6–4–0W–L–TRun line5–5–0W–L–PO/U3–7–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/14/25vs COLW 9–6W -1.5O 8.5
9/13/25vs COLW 11–3W -2.5O 7.5
9/12/25vs COLL 2–4L -1.5U 8.5
9/11/25vs COLW 2–0W -1.5U 8.5
9/10/25vs CINL 1–2L -1.5U 7.5
9/9/25vs CINL 2–4L -1.5U 7.5
9/8/25vs CINW 4–3L -1.5U 7.5
9/7/25@ COLW 8–1W -2.5U 10.5
9/6/25@ COLW 10–8W -1.5O 11.5
9/5/25@ COLL 0–3L -2.5U 10.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

New York Mets

Overall2–8–0W–L–TRun line1–9–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/14/25vs TEXW 5–2W -1.5U 7.5
9/13/25vs TEXL 2–3L -1.5U 8.5
9/12/25vs TEXL 3–8L +1.5O 7.5
9/11/25@ PHIL 4–6L +1.5O 8.5
9/10/25@ PHIL 3–11L +1.5O 7.5
9/9/25@ PHIL 3–9L +1.5O 7.5
9/8/25@ PHIL 0–1L -1.5U 8.5
9/7/25@ CINL 2–3L -1.5U 8.5
9/6/25@ CINL 3–6L -1.5U 9.5
9/5/25@ CINW 5–4L -1.5U 9.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Padres and Mets
Statistic
N/A (8.1)HitsN/A (8.0)
N/A (1.4)DoublesN/A (1.3)
N/A (1.1)Home RunsN/A (1.2)
N/A (13.2)Total BasesN/A (13.3)
N/A (3.4)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (8.1)StrikeoutsN/A (8.4)
N/A (1.0)Stolen BasesN/A (0.6)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

PadresMichael KingConfirmed
MetsClay HolmesConfirmed

Starting lineups

San Diego PadresConfirmed
  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
  2. 2Luis Arraez2B
  3. 3Manny Machado3B
  4. 4Gavin SheetsDH
  5. 5Ramon LaureanoLF
  6. 6Jackson MerrillCF
  7. 7Ryan O'Hearn1B
  8. 8Jake CronenworthSS
  9. 9Freddy FerminC
New York MetsConfirmed
  1. 1Francisco LindorSS
  2. 2Juan SotoRF
  3. 3Pete Alonso1B
  4. 4Brandon NimmoLF
  5. 5Mark VientosDH
  6. 6Jeff McNeil2B
  7. 7Brett Baty3B
  8. 8Francisco AlvarezC
  9. 9Cedric MullinsCF


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